Few players throughout the 2024 NFL season have been more important to their club’s success than Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen. The veteran wide receiver has been dynamic through the first 11 games of the 2024 campaign, with his heroics against the Kansas City Chiefs (most notably, the game-tying 26-yard touchdown run) placing him firmly at the top of NFL MVP conversations.

Allen’s stats through 11 games are impressive and he has thrown for 2,543 yards and 18 touchdowns compared to just five interceptions. He also rushed for 316 yards and five touchdowns.

Related: Where does ESPN rank Bills QB Josh Allen in the NFL MVP race?

Those numbers demonstrate how much he meant to the Bills and how much they asked him to do following the offseason roster shakeup. The losses of wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis put pressure on them Allen to spread the ball and take on more of an open leadership role, and he answered the call and led Buffalo to a 9-2 record entering the bye week.

Given the recent MVP buzz, we decided to extrapolate Allen’s stat line over 11 weeks to see what kind of stat line he’s projected to finish with. He is about to throw for 3,930 yards and 27 touchdowns TO seven interceptions. He is also scheduled to rush 488 yards and seven touchdownswhich would place him at 34 total scores per year.

It’s more likely that Allen will be able to exceed these numbers as these are just extrapolated projections, but how do these stats compare to the recent NFL MVP? Here’s a look at the last four MVPs and their final stats:

While the MVP winners from 2020 to 2022 appear to have better stats than Allen’s from 2024, his numbers are similar to what Jackson did last year outside of rushing yards. Allen is on pace to pass for more yards and score more touchdowns than Jackson did last year; that said, Jackson is currently poised to dramatically improve his 2023 stat line this year and could be a shoo-in for his second (and third overall) MVP win.

There is stiff competition this season for the MVP, as Allen will have to compete with Jackson to win the award. That said, there is still significant football left to be played, and Allen still has an opportunity to improve his chances.

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