Two Big Ten teams battling for bowl eligibility face off Friday night in Seattle as the Washington Huskies host the UCLA Bruins.

Our UCLA vs. Washington expects the home team to take advantage of this raucous environment at Husky Stadium as it will be both a “break-in” night and a senior night.

Read more in me college football picks for Friday, November 15 below.

UCLA vs Washington Prediction

Who will win UCLA vs Washington?

There may be some value in UCLA Bruins against the spread in what should be a close game, but I have to go with Washington Huskies. They will play at home Friday night in what should be a great atmosphere for a blackout game and senior night all rolled into one.

I expect Jedd Fisch to give everything he has in preparation to win this contest as it may be necessary to secure bowl eligibility. The Huskies have five wins, but finish the year with No. 1 Oregon, so a win Friday night has to be the first priority.

My best bet
Below 46.5 (-105 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis
The Huskies have been an under-and-through team this season at 2-8 O/U. I’m betting on more of the same in Week 12 against a UCLA team that is 3-6 O/U.

Washington moved the ball very well, ranking 16th in passing success rate. However, there haven’t been many big plays to complement his ability to move the chains, as the Huskies rank just 124th in explosiveness.

Jedd Fisch’s team converted just 78.9 percent of its red-zone opportunities (103rd nationally). In 38 trips to the red zone, the Huskies found the end zone just half the time (19).

UCLA’s defense was beaten on a down-and-out basis (122nd in passing rate) but bottled up big plays (14th in explosiveness). Ikaika Malloe’s shutdown unit will once again look to keep a lid on things and force Washington to methodically drive to find scores, which should keep the clock running.

The Bruins were great at stifling opposing offenses, giving up just 3.2 yards per rush. They haven’t allowed an opponent to top 155 yards rushing all year – No. 1 Oregon had the most at 153 yards on 36 attempts.

UCLA, on the other hand, has struggled mightily on offense (102nd in EPA per game, 110th in scoring), but has seen a mini-resurgence of late, averaging 27.3 points per game in the last three exits.

Eric Bienemy’s offense prefers to keep the ball in the air (18th in passing rate), but finding success against a tough Washington secondary will be difficult. The Huskies have two fantastic cornerbacks in Ephesians Prysock and Thaddeus Dixon and have superb numbers overall (second in EPA per pass, 14th in passing success rate, 12th in PFFits degree of coverage).

The Bruins are looking to slow things down offensively, ranking just 127th in plays per minute (1.95). The Huskies aren’t much faster, ranking 83rd at 2.17 plays per minute. Efficiency and pace are both in question, meaning Washington and UCLA could be headed for yet another Under.

Same Game Parlay UCLA vs Washington (SGP)

Below 47.5

TJ Harden over 60 yards rushing

Denzel Boston over 50 receiving yards

There are some player props set at a low number for this contest, so I don’t find there to be a negative correlation between playing a complete Under and any player prop Overs.

The read on Washington’s defense is that it is elite against the pass but terrible against the rush. The Huskies are allowing 162.3 rushing yards per game, with 4.5 yards per carry, and the ground numbers are not favorable (103rd in EPA per rush, 112th in rushing success rate, 108th in rushing yards, 122nd in work rate, 133rd in face-seven ravages).

The Bruins have struggled to run the ball for much of the year, but saw TJ Harden break out with 20 carries for 125 yards against Iowa last week. A matchup with Washington was a cure for most rushing attacks.

On the other hand, wide receiver Denzel Boston leads his team in targets (83), receiving yards (717) and receiving touchdowns (9). He’s a talented player with solid numbers (78.0 PFF per reception, 2.01 yards per route), and this isn’t a difficult matchup because the way to beat UCLA’s defense is through the air (90th in EPA per passing, 125th in passing success). rate).

Learn how to place a bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

UCLA vs Washington odds

UCLA vs Washington live odds

UCLA vs Washington Opening Odds

• UCLA vs. Washington spread: Washington -3.5
• UCLA Money Line Vs. Washington: UCLA +145, Washington -170
• UCLA vs. Washington over/under: 46.5

Odds courtesy of him BetMGM.

UCLA vs Washington spread and over/under analysis

• UCLA has been on a roll against the spread, covering in six of its last seven. The only miss came by a single point against Minnesota on a last-second touchdown.
• UCLA has dominated this streak, winning seven of the last 10 meetings, going 7-3 ATS. Going back a little further, UCLA is 15-5 SU in the last 20 meetings.
• Washington is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine games, but the Huskies have won 19 straight at home.
• UCLA has hit the Under in 12 of its last 16 games.

UCLA vs Washington betting trend to know

Washington has been under in 12 of its last 15 games. Find more college football betting trends for UCLA vs. Washington.

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