Washington (5-4) enters this contest with an even 3-3 record in Big Ten play during their first Big Ten campaign. They dropped a 24-19 decision to in-state rival Wazzu before bouncing back to defeat Northwestern the following week. Since then, they’ve lost a heartbreaker to @Rutgers where the Huskies boasted a 97% win rate, beat a rebuilding Michigan, and been manhandled by @Iowa and @Indiana. Washington is 5-1 at home after taking out a limping USC, but has yet to win a game on the road after playing just three games away from Husky Stadium. The UW secondary is one of the nation’s truly elite units, ranking No. 2 in yards per dropback and No. 8 in suppressing explosive passing plays. The offense relies on a volume-based passing attack that emphasizes accuracy (5th in completion rate) over magnitude (111th in passing plays over 20 yards).

The Nittany Lions (7-1) cruised through the first half with their closest win being a 33-30 comeback win over @USC in Week 7 with an 86% win rate. In addition, each of their other six wins have had perfect 100% win expectations, with PSU exhibiting a non-Ohio State dominance of their Big Ten opponents. While OC Andy Kotelnicki’s offense ranks 5th in passing rate, 11th in EPA/game and eighth in 3-and-out%, they are also 89th in yards per game also managed to rank 85th in explosiveness. Defensively, the Nittany Lions were once again outstanding, ranking 2nd in SP+. Their blocking secondary allows just 3.6 yards per completion despite a somewhat sluggish PSU pass rush, which ranks 46th nationally with a 6.5 percent pick rate.

NBC Sports has all the latest information and analysis you need, including how to tip, odds from BetMGM, player news and updates, and of course, our predictions and the best bets for the game from our staff experts.

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Game details and how to watch Penn State @ Washington

· Date: Saturday, November 9, 2024
· Time: 8:00 PM EST
· Site: Beaver Stadium
· City: University Park, PA
· TV/Streaming: Peacock

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Penn State @ Washington Game Odds

The latest Friday odds from BetMGM:

• Money line: Penn State (-550), Washington (+400)
• Spread: Penn State -13.5
• Over/Under: 46.5 points

The line opened right at the key PSU number -14, but has since fallen below that point and is trading at -12.5/13.5, depending on the book. Notable moneyline movement came from Penn State, dropping to -625 but now being offered at -500. There was not much variation in the total, opening at 46 and currently standing at 45.5 to 46.5.

NBC Sports Betting Best Bet

NBC sports betting analyst Eric Froton (@CFFroton) thinks:
“These two teams routinely produced slow-paced games, with 78 percent of Washington’s plays going under and 75 percent of Penn State’s contests failing to reach their allotted total. With both defenses representing the strengths of these two programs, I’m backing the Under 46.5 game total.”

Listen to the Bet the Edge podcast as hosts, Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick, provide listeners with clear insight, market analysis and statistical data to help bettors gain more information before placing their bets.

BetMGM College Football Highlights: Week 11

“As things stand now, the biggest need is Ole Miss against Georgia. The red, or should I say crimson, hot Hoosiers are also a big liability and we will say Go Blue on Saturday. In a battle of SEC powerhouses, the cards will also be pulling for Bama as they visit Death Valley and LSU.” – Seamus Magee, Sports Trading Manager, BetMGM

Most betting games (tickets)
1. Georgia-Ole Miss
2. Alabama-LSU
3. Michigan-Indiana
Most teams bet (tickets)
1. Georgia -3
2. LSU +3
3. Indiana -14.5
Most Betted Teams (Handle)
1. Georgia -3
2. LSU +3
3. Indiana -14.5
Most Bet Overs (Tickets)
1. Michigan-Indiana 49.5
2. Alabama-LSU 58.5
3. Colorado-Texas Tech 62.5
Most Bet Unders (Tickets)
1. Georgia-Ole Miss 55.5
2. Mississippi State-Tennessee 61.5
3. Iowa-Kansas State 50.5
Most Underdogs to Win (Tickets)
1. LSU +125
2. Michigan +450
3. Mizzou +115

Facing quarterbacks for Penn State @ Washington

• Penn State: Five-star QB Drew Allar suffered a knee injury and was questionable before their pivotal game at Ohio State, but the vet was able to rule it out despite a rather uninspiring performance. Despite taking a small step back against OSU, Allar ranks 9th nationally with an 87.6 PFF passer grade and handles pressure extremely well, ranking 6th in the FBS with a 73rd percentile passer grade. As a team , PSU ranks 3rd in pass success rate and wins first downs on 65% of completions. Despite their recent loss to Ohio State, the Nittany Lions are still a legitimate national title contender.

• Washington: Will Rogers spent his formative college years under the learning tree of Air Raid icon Mike Leach at Mississippi State. To this day, Rogers is one of the most accomplished signal callers in the FBS, amassing 14,599 passing yards on a 107-to-32 basis over a half-decade leading the MSU/Washington offenses. 2024 was no exception, with Rogers completing 71.1 percent of his passes for 2,284 yards and a TD/INT ratio of 13 to 4. PFF’s 81st percentile passing grade is the second-highest single-season mark in his career to date. Washington will also use dynamic dual-threat Freshman QB Demond Williams in goal line and short yardage situations to add a different look to QB Rogers’ pro style. He is the future of the position at UW.

Betting trends and recent statistics

• Penn State is 1-4 (.200) against the spread when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season, tied for 8th among Power Conference teams. (Avg: .465)
• PSU ranks 10th in defensive rushing success/8th in EPA/rush allowed. However, they’re also susceptible to block plays, ranking 97th in rushing yards and 116th with an 81.3% completion rate allowed.
• Washington’s offense did pretty well between the 20s, ranking 33rd in pass completion rate and 21st in efficiency. However, they don’t actually finish drives, ranking 126th at 3.51 points per scoring opportunity and 106th in red zone touchdown rate (54%).
• Drew Allar is averaging 9.7 YPA on 184 pass attempts this season, second best among qualified Big Ten quarterbacks. Washington’s defense has allowed just 5.1 YPA this season, the best among Big Ten defenses.

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