WASHINGTON (AP) — Even with Tuesday night’s outcome uncertain, the 2024 presidential election has already revealed the depths of a fractured nation as candidates navigated political shifts based on class, race and age under the near-constant threat of misinformation and violence.

Early data suggest that Republican Donald Trump may benefit from some of the changes more than Democrat Kamala Harris. And the former Republican president could also have benefited from voters’ frustrated focus on the economy.

The biggest takeaways from the election so far may be the most obvious, however.

The United States is poised to elect either its first female president in Harris or its first president with a criminal conviction in the former president trump cardwhose enduring political strength through chaos—largely of itself—has so far borne little political cost.

With votes still being counted across the country, here are some takeaways:

With modest changes, Trump weakens the Democratic coalition

Black voters—men and women—were the cornerstone of the Democratic Party, and Democrats had a strong appeal to Latino voters. So it was with young voters.

But preliminary data from AP VoteCast, a broad survey of more than 115,000 voters nationwide, suggested the groups had shifted in Trump’s direction.

Voters under 30 make up a fraction of the total electorate, but about half of them supported Harris. That’s compared to about 6 in 10 who supported Biden in 2020.

Slightly more than 4 in 10 young voters voted for Trump, up from about a third in 2020.

Another shift that emerged was among black and Latino voters, who appeared slightly less likely to support Harris than they did for Biden four years ago, according to AP VoteCast.

About 8 in 10 black voters supported Harris, down from about 9 in 10 who supported Biden. More than half of Hispanic voters supported Harris, but that was down slightly from the roughly 6 in 10 who supported Biden in 2020. Trump’s support among these groups appeared to be growing slightly compared to 2020.

Trump boasted throughout the fall that he would get more support from black and Latino men than he had before.

Harris, meanwhile, went after more educated voters — including moderate Republicans — turned away by Trump.

It may turn out that the Trump era is not a permanent realignment of major party coalitions. But it’s clear that the old coalitions and longstanding understandings of how to win the White House just don’t apply with Trump in the mix.

A new president will take over a nation with deep cracks

Whether Trump or Harris end up behind the Resolute Desk, the 47th president will lead a nation with deepening political and cultural fissures and an anxious electorate.

AP VoteCast found that about 4 in 10 voters thought that economy and jobs the most important problem facing the country. About 2 in 10 voters said the top issue is immigration, an anchor of Trump’s argument, and about 1 in 10 chose abortiona pillar of Harris’s campaign.

In a reminder of how unusual this election was, about 1 in 4 Trump voters said assassination attempts against him were the most important factor in their vote.

But when asked what most influenced their vote, about half of voters cited the future of democracy. This was higher than the share of those who answered the same about inflation, immigration or abortion policy. And it cuts across the two major parties: About two-thirds of Harris voters and about a third of Trump voters said the future of democracy was the most important factor in their votes.

Not surprising given the realities of the Trump era and campaign rhetoric.

Trump refused to concede defeat in 2020 and saw his supporters loot the US Capitol on January 6, 2021, as Congress met to certify Democrat Joe Biden’s victory. Trump even thought two days before election day that he “He shouldn’t have left” White House after repeatedly vowing revenge on his political enemies.

Harris, by the end of the campaign, joined other critics — including some of Trump’s former White House chief of staff — in describing the former president as a “fascist.” Meanwhile, Trump has labeled Harris a “fascist” and a “communist.”

Trump’s criminal record is not an issue for many voters

The incomplete statements show that Donald Trump’s criminal convictions, additional pending charges and any concerns about his most incendiary rhetoric simply weren’t enough of a concern to keep tens of millions of Americans from voting for him.

According to AP VoteCast, slightly more than half of voters said Harris has the moral character to be president, compared with about 4 in 10 who said that about Trump. It’s quite possible, as Trump said several times during the campaign, that his legal jeopardy actually helped him.

As things stand, Trump may never be convicted in a New York business fraud case in which he was convicted of 34 felonies. For now, his the sentence is scheduled for later this month.

A federal indictment in Florida has already been dismissed, sparing him from a trial to determine whether he violated US law protecting national security secrets. And he made clear he would use his power as president to unseal the federal case against him for his role in the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol. That would leave a racketeering case pending in Georgia against Trump and others accused of trying to undermine the outcome of the 2020 election.

Relatively few voters said Trump’s legal cases were a major factor in their decision-making in this election. Only about a quarter of Trump voters said legal cases involving Trump were an important factor.

Mars and Venus: Abortion, ‘sibling’ politics shed light on gender voting differences

It was the first presidential election after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade and ended a woman’s national right to terminate a pregnancy. It was also the first time a Republican presidential candidate over-courted men with a hypermasculine approach.

Both Harris and Trump aides expected a historic “gender gap” between the two candidates, with women making up a clear majority of Harris’ supporters and men providing a clear majority of Trump’s total.

But about half of women backed Harris, while about half of men went with Trump, according to AP VoteCast. This seems largely in line with the actions for Biden and Trump in 2020.

VoteCast found that about 1 in 10 voters said abortion was the top issue facing the country, reinforcing the new prominence of an issue that barely registered with voters four years ago.

About a quarter of voters said abortion policy was the most important factor in their vote, while nearly half said it was an important but not the most important factor.

Questions about “election integrity” persist — thanks to misinformation

Trump spent the last days of the election aggressively promoting baseless claims about the integrity of the election, insisting that he would only lose if the Democrats cheated. Not long after, he claimed on social media, without evidence, that there was “a lot of talk about Massive SCAM in Philadelphia.”

There is no credible information indicating significant fraud in this election — or the last, despite Trump’s claims to the contrary. A broad coalition of senior government and industry officials, many of them Republicans, found that the 2020 election was “safest” in American history.”

At the same time, a disinformation campaign promoting false cases of electoral fraud is spreading online.

FBI on Tuesday issued a statement highlighting two examples of misuse of its name and insignia in election-related videos. One of them presented a fabricated press release alleging that the management of five prisons in Pennsylvania, Georgia and Arizona had rigged inmate voting and colluded with a political party.

“This video is also not authentic and its content is false,” the FBI said.