The world’s largest outdoor cocktail party is here when Georgia’s no. 2 faces Florida in Week 10 college football action on Saturday. Here’s what you should be watching, along with our updated prediction for the game.

Georgia improved to 4-1 in SEC play two weeks ago in a signature win at Texas that saved the team’s playoff hopes, but tougher tests lie ahead before the selection committee gets it all figured out.

Florida moved to 2-2 in conference play after knocking off rival Kentucky, but heads into the most brutal stretch of any program in college football this season, playing 4 ranked opponents in the final 5 weeks of the year.

What can we expect when the Bulldogs and Gators renew their rivalry this weekend?

Here’s what to watch for when Georgia and Florida meet in this Week 10 college football matchup, along with our updated matchup prediction.

1. The meeting. Georgia guard Trevor Etienne left Florida last season and ended up in Athens, waiting for this chance to get his old team. He leads the Bulldogs with 422 rushing yards and has scored 7 times, but has yet to eclipse 100 yards in a single game.

Florida ranks 15th in the SEC and 94th nationally in rushing defense this season in total production, but its top-seven rotation has improved greatly over the past three games, ranking 30th in that category over that span and gets his linebackers close to limiting a lot of gains on the field.

2. Pressure. Florida 5-star freshman cornerback DJ Lagway has quietly improved the Gators’ passing efficiency and is currently the SEC’s most efficient passer on deep throws, according to Pro Football Focus numbers.

But he might struggle to find his feet consistently against an aggressive Georgia defense that has allowed just 15 completions of 20-plus yards and is attacking quarterbacks more than it ever has in the Kirby Smart era. Any early struggles for UF’s quarterback could be very costly.

3. Turnover. Florida’s defense has been better at generating takeaways lately, forcing 6 turnovers from opponents over the last 3 games, improving the team’s turnover margin to minus-1 on the year.

Georgia’s Carson Beck has thrown 8 interceptions in his last 4 outings, which have played a role in the team’s overall inconsistent offensive output of late, and could play a strength for the Gators’ defense recently.

Georgia enters the game with an average 30.5 points per contest on the year, ranking 39th nationally going against a Florida-allowing defense 26.3 points per gamein 74th place.

In terms of total production, the Bulldogs are average 416.2 yards per game in 2024, ranking 41st in the FBS as the Gators surrender 398.5 meters average, good for 86th nationally.

Georgia is good for .445 points per game average this season, ranking 38th in the nation while Florida allows .357 points per game on defense, ranking 61st nationally.

Third, Georgia ranks just 87th in the nation, conversion 34 out of 89 possible attempts for a success rate of 38.2 percent this season.

Defensively, the Gators allow opponents to convert 39 out of 98 opportunities (39.8 percent).

Working in the red zone, Georgia came out with points on 28 out of 31 opportunities in order to 90.32% success rate.and 21 of those scores are touchdowns (67.74%).

Florida has let opponents score points 19 of 23 chances in the red zone in order to 82.61% success rate. while 13 of those scores were touchdowns (56.52%).

Florida had an average 28.5 points per game this season, ranking 51st nationally against a surrendering Georgia defense 19.2 points per game on average, in 17th place.

In terms of total production, the Gators post 376.8 yards per gamewhich is good for 76th in the FBS while the Bulldogs allow 333.3 yards per game in defense, 30th nationally.

Florida is average .458 points per game this season, ranking 33rd in the FBS while Georgia’s defense allowed opponents to average .286 points per gameranking 21st nationally.

On third down, the Gators offense moved the chains 31 out of 78 chances this season (39.74 percent), while the Bulldogs allowed teams to convert 27 out of 90 chances (30%).

In the red zone, Florida came out with points on 27 of 32 opportunities for a 84.38% success rate. while 22 of those scores (68.75%) are touchdowns.

Georgia allows teams to return 14 of 17 red zone opportunities in points (82.35%), but only 8 of those scores are touchdowns, third fewest nationally.

Most analytical models are on the side of the Bulldogs to take down the Gators in this game.

This includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.

Georgia came out ahead in the majority 79.9 percent of the latest computer simulations of the match.

That leaves Florida as the presumptive winner the rest of the way 20.1 percent of sense.

Georgia is a favorite with 14.5 points against Florida, according to updated lines posted to FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel set the total at 51.5 points for the game (Over -110, Under -110).

And list the money line odds for Georgia at -630 and for Florida at +460 to win outright.

Florida should stay in this game at least through the first half, thanks to a back seven in Georgia that has occasionally been generous with opposing quarterbacks and a front seven unit that has improved and could throw its ground game Bulldogs off the schedule for a while.

But with time, Georgia’s blitz packages should finally shrink Lagway’s pocket to the point where he starts making mistakes while Beck and his receivers expose the back end of the Gators’ secondary.

College Headquarters Football Select…

More… Georgia vs. Score Prediction Florida according to the expert model

When: Saturday, November 2
Time: 3:30 PM Eastern
TV: ABC Network

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Game odds are periodically updated and subject to change.

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