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The heat of the road is quickly becoming Caleb Williams’ worst nature
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The heat of the road is quickly becoming Caleb Williams’ worst nature

Caleb Williams can expect to get hit on Sunday against the Arizona Cardinals.

It’s not so much that he’s getting bombed that should concern the Bears, it’s that they’re on the road and getting attacked that’s important.

The Cardinals defense facing Williams isn’t your standard approach.

“Their defense did a good job of mixing things up and creating confusion for a lot of offenses,” coach Matt Eberflus said. “That’s a very unique defensive style, but we’re going to focus on those guys.”

It can’t be too effective because Arizona ranks 27th in defense and 26th against both the pass and the run, but their disguise tactics and unusual alignments can cause problems. They will frequently have players on defense who move a lot at the snap or even before. The Bears referred to it as a “fuzzy” look.

“Well, starting with (safety) Budda Baker and then being able to move around (LB Zaven) Collins or their different plays with (OLB Mack) Wilson in non-normal alignments,” offensive coordinator Shane Waldron said. “It could be defensive linemen. It could be linebacker lineups so they can mix it up.

“I think coach (Nick) Rallis has a unique scheme, so that’s something we’ve been focused on to start working on it Monday and then throughout. It’s going to be a good challenge to attack.”

Blitzing is not something the Cardinals normally do. They are almost last, 30th in blitz percentage. However, they will likely make an exception for Williams.

It’s pretty obvious that Williams is at his worst throwing on the road against the blitz, but especially under pressure in a road game.

When hit in road games, he is 15-of-34 for 169 yards with an interception, a touchdown and a 57.11 passer rating according to Pro Football Focus Game Stats. He is especially ineffective at simply being pressured in road games regardless of the blitz, and with the health of the Bears’ offensive line, that’s especially important. He is 17 of 28 for 135 yards with one touchdown pass and three interceptions when pressured for a 45.09 rating.

Williams is a completely different passer against both the pressure and the blitz at home.

His passer rating against the blitz in games when he’s been at home is 112.92 (22-of-35, 251 yards, three TDs, 0 interceptions). When pressured at home regardless of the blitz, he has a 95.19 rating, but is less accurate at 11-of-26 for 121 yards with three TDs and no interceptions.

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The real key behind all of this is the quality of defense he faced.

None of the four home opponents, including the Jaguars in a game where the Bears were designated as the home team at a neutral site, had a defense that one could label intimidating. The Titans are #1 in the league, but this was the first game Williams had ever played in, and how good are the Titans defense, really, when they’ve given up 106 points over the past three weeks?

The Texans and Chiefs are in the top half of the league in overall defense and scoring defense, and the Colts in scoring defense. They put pressure on Williams in their home matches and got positive results.

The confusion caused by the coverages and mixed alignments the Cardinals use can cause a QB to hold the ball, but knowing they have such an advantage when Williams has such trouble on the road handling the pressure will lead to more blitzes.

The bottom line is the Bears need to find a way to keep Williams clean in this game, even with a potentially revamped offensive line, or they could be looking at another weak offensive start.

The finish might not be as dramatic as last week, but their 0-3 road record and 3-17 road record under Eberflus says they don’t necessarily need drama on the road to come disappointed.

Twitter: Bears OnSI