The presidential race is unusually close in Virginia as Texas Sen. Ted Cruz leads in his bid for a third term.

A new telephone and online survey by Rasmussen Reports and American thinker finds that if the election were held today, 48 percent of likely voters in Virginia would vote for Vice President Kamala Harris, while 46 percent would vote for former President Donald Trump. Four percent (four%) say they would vote for another candidate, while another three percent (3%) are still undecided. In 2020President Joe Biden beat Trump by a 10-point margin in Virginia. (To see the wording of the survey question, click here.)

Meanwhile, in Texas, Cruz faces a strong challenge from Democratic Rep. Colin Allred. If the election were held today, 47 percent of likely Texas voters would vote for Cruz, while 43 percent would vote for Allred. Three percent (3%) would vote for another Senate candidate and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

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The poll of 1,002 likely voters in Texas and 1,014 likely voters in Virginia was conducted Oct. 24-25, 2024, by Rasmussen Reports and American Thinker. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% confidence level. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports polls is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Both Trump and Harris have recently made campaign appearances in Texas. Still, Trump leads by six points in the Lone Star State, with 50 percent to Harris’ 44 percent among likely voters.

Meanwhile, in the Virginia Senate race, incumbent Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine leads his Republican opponent Hung Cao by a double-digit margin, with 50 percent of likely voters for Kaine and 39 percent for Cao.

In both Texas and Virginia, “voters are unhappy with the status quo and are concerned about the integrity of elections,” he said American Thinker Editor-in-Chief Andrea Widburg. “In Texas, 56 percent of voters say they are no better off now than they were four years ago, while 51 percent of Virginia voters say the same. This gloomy feeling affects their feelings about the future. In both states, 50 percent of likely voters think their children will be worse off than their parents.”

Thirty-one percent (31%) of voters in Virginia and 30% in Texas say the economy is the most important issue in this year’s election, followed by border security (24% in Texas, 19% in Virginia) and abortion ( 13% in Texas, 12% in Virginia).

Among other findings from the Rasmussen Reports/American Thinker poll of voters in Texas and Virginia:

– The “gender gap” is much more significant for the presidential election in Virginia than in Texas. Trump leads among men (52 percent to Harris’ 42 percent) and women voters (49 percent to Harris’ 47 percent) in Texas. In Virginia, however, Trump leads men by a four-point margin ( 50 percent to Harris’ 46 percent), while Harris has an eight-point lead among female voters, 51 percent to Trump’s 43 percent.

– In Texas, 59% of white voters, 23% of black voters, 43% of Hispanic voters and 31% of other minorities would vote for Trump, while 36% of white voters, 72% of black voters, 52% of Hispanic voters and 69 % of other minorities would vote for Harris.

– In Virginia, 44% of white voters, 64% of black voters, 46% of Hispanic voters and 59% of other minorities would vote for Harris, while 51% of white voters, 32% of black voters, 50% of Hispanic voters and 30 % of other minorities would vote for Trump.

– Voters in Texas are far more likely than voters in Virginia to consider border security a top priority for the next president. Asked what the most important issue for the next president to tackle is illegal immigration, 36 percent of Texans said, followed by rising prices (22 percent) protecting our democracy (21 percent) and abortion rights (18 percent). In Virginia, 30 percent of voters said rising prices were most important, followed by illegal immigration (27 percent), protecting our democracy (23 percent) and abortion rights (19 percent).

– Majorities of voters in Texas (65%) and Virginia (59%) support using the military or the National Guard to stem the flow of illegal immigration at the US southern border.

Transgender athletes in women’s sports? Do men use the women’s toilets? Taxpayer Funded Transgender Treatment? American voters are against it all – and not by a narrow margin.

An overwhelming majority of self-identified Christian voters believe that the 2024 election is very important, and most of them believe that prayer can make a difference in the outcome.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to both the public and Platinum Members.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to both the public and Platinum Members.

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