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Latest polls on Harris vs. Trump

Online Niel October 25, 2024

That the presidential election cycle inches closer to the end, the polls continued to show that democrat Kamala Harris and republican Donald trump card are locked in an incredibly tight race as early voting is underway.

In the latest polls released Friday morning, Harris saw a narrow lead in Tipp’s ongoing poll coverage, while an Emerson College Polling poll also showed a slight lead for the vice president.

The latest figures come as each candidate travels to key US battleground states to pitch their latest pitches to voters.

Here’s what you need to know about the presidential election on Friday, October 25:

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Live Updates on Election 2024: Trump and Harris travel to 3 key swing states; the latest polls

Harris leads New Hampshire but lags behind Biden

Harris lead trump card by three percentage points among New Hampshire voters a new poll published Friday by Emerson College Polling.

The poll of 915 voters showed Harris leading 50 percent to 47 percent of likely voters less than two weeks before the Nov. 5 election. When undecided voters are factored in, Harris’ overall support in New Hampshire rises to 51 percent, according to the poll.

The poll showed Harris with a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points. The survey was conducted from Monday to Wednesday.

The new poll showed that 34% of those surveyed saw the economy as the main issue in the upcoming presidential election. Another 26 percent of those polled said housing affordability was the top issue, while 10 percent said threats to democracy.

Democrats dominated New Hampshire in the last presidential election, but Harris’ support among voters falls short of what President Joe Biden had in 2020, when he won the state with 52.8 percent of the vote.

In 2016, Hillary Clinton just won the state over Trump with 46.8% of the vote to Trump’s 46.5%. according to the RealClear survey.

The new Emerson poll found that a majority of New Hampshire voters (53%) have a favorable opinion of Harris, while 47% have an unfavorable opinion of the vice president. Trump was found to have a 47% approval rating in the state, with 53% of those surveyed having an unfavorable view of him.

“Harris’ margin among women is similar to Biden’s in 2020 — however, male voters have shifted about two points toward Trump,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “Furthermore, Harris is underperforming Biden’s support in 2020 among independent voters, who broke Harris by 13 points but broke it for Biden by about double that amount.”

Harris 50%, Trump 47% in Tipp’s ongoing poll coverage

Democratic presidential candidate Harris leads Republican presidential candidate Trump by three percentage points Tipp’s follow-up poll since friday morning.

The poll of 1,260 likely voters conducted between Oct. 21 and Oct. 23 shows Harris leading 50 percent to 47 percent, with a margin of error of 2.8 percent.

According to Tipp, both candidates have fluctuated within a three-point range over the past 10 days.

“This steady but small margin suggests a volatile electorate where every percentage point counts,” Tipp noted.

The Bloomberg poll shows the candidates tied

According to Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll on Wednesday evening.

Harris barely leads Trump 49.1% to 48.5% in all swing states, within the margin of error of one percentage point. The data was taken from a survey of 5,308 registered voters between October 16 and October 20 in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin.

“Harris is outperforming her rival in the polls on some personal attributes that may help her with those disgruntled Republicans. When asked which candidate is best described as mentally fit, honest and compassionate, likely voters chose Harris by a wide margin,” Bloomberg reported. , countered by findings that more voters view Trump as experienced, patriotic and a strong leader.

Things to consider about surveys

The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results to be representative of the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

Pew has, too found that most pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.