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Chicago Bears and Washington Commanders Week 8 Game Day Preview
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Chicago Bears and Washington Commanders Week 8 Game Day Preview

Chicago Bears (4-2) at Washington Commanders (5-2)

Where: Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD.

Start: 15:25

TELEVISION: CBS (Jim Nantz, Tony Romo, Tracy Wolfson)

Radio: ESPN AM-1000 (Jeff Joniak, Tom Thayer, Jason McKie)

Compass (Chris Carrino, Brian Baldinger)

Spanish Radio: Latino Mix 93.5 (Omar Ramos, Mateo Moreno)

Line: Bears by 2 1/2, over/under 43 1/2

Bears On SI Pick: Bears 26, Commanders 20

Series: 54th overall meeting, with Washington leading 27-25-1. The Bears have won the last two in Washington, including 40-20 last year, and have won two of the last three. Before those three, Washington had won seven in a row. The road team has won six of the last seven games in this series.

Coaches: Bears coach Matt Eberflus is in his third season and is 14-26, including 1-1 against the Commanders. Eberflus’ teams are 3-16 on the road and 1-1 in back-to-back weeks.

Commanders coach Dan Quinn is 51-46 in six NFL seasons and is in his first season as the Commanders coach. He led the Atlanta Falcons to Super Bowl LI and was their coach from 2015-2020. Quinn and Jim Caldwell were finalists with Eberflus for the Bears job in 2022 when Eberflus was hired. Quinn was the defensive coordinator in Seattle and Dallas before being the head coach of the Falcons.

The teams: It’s choice no. 1 draft pick Caleb Williams, possibly against the no. 2 injured, Jayden Daniels. The Bears are looking for their fourth straight win and are on their longest winning streak under Eberflus. for their first three-game winning streak under Eberflus. They beat the Rams, the Panthers and two weeks ago in London, Jacksonville. The Bears defense has given up no more than 21 points to 12 straight opponents, while Williams has thrown nine touchdown passes in the last four games to four different receivers, three to Cole Kmet and three to DJ Moore, two to Keenan Allen and one to Rome. Odunze.

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The Chiefs are coming off a 40-7 drubbing of Carolina in which Daniels played just 10 games and suffered a rib injury. His status will be announced on Sunday before the game. Marcus Mariota finished the game going 18-of-23 for 205 yards with two touchdowns and ran for 34 yards on 11 attempts. The Chiefs had lost the previous week to Baltimore, 30-23.

Statistical leaders: Williams completed 130 of 199 for 1,317 yards with nine TDs and five interceptions for an 88.7 passer rating. D’Andre Swift leads the Bears in rushing with 325 yards on 91 attempts (3.6-yard average) and three TDs. DJ Moore leads the Bears in receptions with 31 and receiving yards with 314. TJ Edwards leads the Bears in tackles with 47. Gervon Dexter leads the Bears defense in sacks with four and Jaylon Johnson has a team-high two interceptions. Tyrique Stevenson and Johnson are tied for the team lead in pass breakups with five each.

Daniels completed 127 of 168 for an NFL-best 75.6 percent. He has 1,410 yards, six TDs and has thrown two interceptions. WR Terry McLaurin leads the Chiefs with 35 receptions and also in receiving yards with 454 and TD prints with four. Brian Robinson Jr. has the team lead in rushing with 396 yards on 85 carries (4.7 ypc) and six TDs. LB Bobby Wagner leads in tackles with 62 and Dante Fowler leads in sacks with 4 1/2. Benjamin St-Juste leads in pass breakups.

Injury report: For the Bears, S Jaquan Brisker (concussion) and CB Kyler Gordon (hamstring) are out. DE Jake Martin (finger) and RB Travis Homer (finger) were activated from injured reserve.

For the Chiefs, OL Brandon Coleman is out (concussion) and Daniels is questionable.

Fit: The Bears rank 24th in offense, 20th in passing and 24th in rushing. I am in 12th place in the points. Chicago’s defense is fifth overall, seventh against the pass and 11th against the run. They are fourth in fewest points allowed.

The Chiefs rank fourth in offense, 14th in passing and third in rushing. They lead the NFL in scoring with 218 points. Washington’s defense is 16th, 12th against the pass and 18th stopping the run. They are 15th in fewest points allowed.

To note: The Bears are riding their first four-game winning streak since 2018, when they last won the NFC North title. … The teams the Bears have beaten are a combined 6-20. … Williams has the best six-game winning streak for a No. 1 pick. 1 draft QB in league history. … The Bears are plus-6 in turnover differential, and the Commanders are plus-3. … Wagner has five or more tackles in 19 straight games. … The Chiefs are 3-0 at home for the first time since 2005. If they win, they will be 4-0 at home for the first time since 1978.

Key individual matches

Bears WR DJ Moore vs Commanders CB Mike Sainristil

The Commanders best cornerback is a rookie out of Michigan and was ranked just the 50th overall in the league by Pro Football Focus. PFF says he gives up a 115.9 rating in coverage when he’s targeted and has an interception. At 5-10, 182 pounds, he doesn’t give up much of Moore’s size. Moore caught eight passes for 230 yards and three TDs last year against the Chiefs in a different defensive scheme. Moore was targeted the fewest times in a game he’s played all season against Jacksonville, just five times. Moore has 28 catches for 451 yards and five TDs in five games against the Commanders.

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Bears CB Jaylon Johnson vs. Bears WR Terry McLaurin

The passer rating against Jaylon Johnson remains an obscene 27.3 according to Stathead/Pro Football Reference. He has allowed 10 completions this year on 20 targets for 11.1 yards per catch and 5.6 yards per target. Johnson hasn’t allowed a touchdown pass this year and has thrown three in the last three seasons. It seems like a no-brainer that the Bears defense would have Johnson chase McLaurin all game long. McLaurin has been targeted at least 120 times a year each of the last four years, and is averaging seven targets per game this year. His 71.4% field goal percentage is the highest of his career. Both Johnson and McLaurin are 6 feet tall, but the 210-pound McLaurin is 14 pounds heavier.

Bears DE Montez Sweat vs. Commanders T Andrew Wylie

Sweat faces his old team and is off to a slower start this year in sacks with just 2 1/2 and pressures with nine. He had 12 1/2 sacks and 40 pressures last year. His impact was felt, however, as the defensive line flourished as opponents double-teamed Sweat, leaving unique coverage for other players. Sweat has a 17% win rate, according to PFF, which is 19th among all top players. Wylie, a former Chiefs player, is familiar with Sweat from one season with the Commanders after coming over from Kansas City. He is ranked 45th among all tackles this year in the league by PFF and 44th in pass blocking. He committed five penalties and allowed no sacks, one QB hit and 10 pressures.

Bears LB Tremaine Edmunds vs. Commanders TE Zach Ertz

At times, Edmunds could be on Ertz in seam route coverage or in short patterns as he rises to the ball. At 6-5, 250, Ertz is nearly 34 years old and not the downfield speed threat he once was. Edmunds would have tremendous speed, as would safety Elijah Hicks. But Hicks is 5-11, 200 pounds and would be a size mismatch trying to cover Ertz. Edmunds is 6-5, 250. Jack Sanborn could also cover Ertz in base defense. Edmunds has a remarkable 59.9 passer rating and has given up just 7.9 yards per catch against him. Ertz was in the Cardinals offense under Kliff Kingsbury in 2021 and 2022 and has his best yards per catch since 2017 at 10.7. He has 25 receptions on 34 targets.

Bears DT Andrew Billings vs. Commanders G Sam Cosmi

Billings has been an effective inside linebacker for the Bears, and ESPN rates his pass rush win rate as 5th in the league among tackles at 15 percent. Stopping the run took a step back this year, according to PFF, but Billings was there to help with the big interior stops. Cosmi ranked seventh in the league as a pass blocker among guards. The 6-foot-7, 309-pounder is coming off his best season in the league according to PFF grade and has allowed one sack and nine pressures this year.

Bears WR Keenan Allen vs. Commanders CB Noah Igbinoghene

At 5-11, 197, Igbinoghene is bigger than many cornerbacks and could match the 6-2, 211-pound Allen in those terms. Allen has started to be heard since the last game as a third-down threat and is key in extending the Bears’ drives. Igbinoghene has a passer rating of 101.5, which is so for a slot cornerback, and has completed 20 of 30 targets.

Twitter: BearsOnSI