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Projections after Week 11 for the 2024 college football season
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Projections after Week 11 for the 2024 college football season

Anyone hoping the inaugural 12-team College Football Playoff wouldn’t turn into a full-on showcase of SEC and Big Ten talent had a rough November.

Saturday, Georgia Tech TREATED Miami a devastating 28–23 loss in Atlanta that might have ended the ACC’s hopes of fielding two teams. This was shortly followed by of Kansas surprising 45–36 upset by Iowa Statewhich a few weeks ago had first-round bye models.

These events are bad news for anyone hoping to make up for college football’s complete stratification along conference lines, but they’re good news for those of us in the bowl projection business. After another exciting week here working the AP Poll and College Football Reference Simple rating system— is a look at how the bowl picture would shape up if the season ended today.

As usual, a string of comments follows.

GAME

LOCATION

DATE

DESIGNED POWER

Celebration bowl

Atlanta

14 Dec

Jackson State vs. State of South Carolina

Bowl with camellia

Montgomery, Ala.

14 Dec

Eastern Michigan vs. Coastal Carolina

Frisco Bowl

Frisco, Texas

Dec 17

Georgia Southern vs. Western Kentucky

Boca Raton Bowl

Boca Raton, Fla.

18 Dec

Miami-Ohio vs. Marshall

LA Bowl

Inglewood, California.

18 Dec

Washington vs. UNLV

New Orleans Bowl

New Orleans

19 Dec

James Madison vs. Liberty

Cure Bowl

Orlando

Dec 20

Oklahoma vs. Louisiana-Lafayette

Gasparilla Bol

Tampa

Dec 20

Arkansas vs. Virginia

College Football Playoff First Round — Game 1

Bloomington, Ind.

Dec 20

No. 10 Alabama at No. 7 Indiana

College Football Playoff First Round — Game 2

University Park, Pa.

Dec 21

No. 11 Ole Miss at No. 6 Penn State

College Football Playoff First Round — Game 3

COLUMBUS

Dec 21

No. 12 Boise State at No. 5 Ohio State

College Football Playoff First Round — Game 4

Knoxville, Tenn.

Dec 21

No. 9 Notre Dame at no. 8 Tennessee

Myrtle Beach bowl

Conway, SC

Dec 23

Western Michigan vs. Louisiana-Monroe

Potato bowl

Boise, Idaho

Dec 23

Bowling Green vs. San Jose State

Hawaiian Bowl

Honolulu

Dec 24

Sam Houston vs. Fresno State

Detroit Bowl

Detroit

Dec 26

Toledo vs. Michigan

Rate Bowl

Phoenix

Dec 26

Cincinnati vs. Nebraska

68 Ventures Bowl

Mobile, Ala.

Dec 26

Buffalo vs. Texas State

Birmingham Bowl

Birmingham

Dec 27

Virginia Tech vs. North Texas

Armed Forces Bowl

Fort Worth

Dec 27

Connecticut vs. Navy

Liberty Bowl

Memphis

Dec 27

Texas Tech vs. Missouri

Holiday Bowl

San Diego

Dec 27

Syracuse vs. Washington State

Las Vegas Bowl

Las Vegas

Dec 27

Texas A&M vs. COLORADO

Fenway Bowl

Boston

Dec 28

Memphis vs. Boston College

Bowl with stripes

Bronx, NY

Dec 28

Pittsburgh vs. Rutgers

New Mexico Bowl

Albuquerque

Dec 28

NC State vs. State of Arkansas

Bowl of Pop-Tarts

Orlando

Dec 28

Iowa State vs. Duke

Arizona Bowl

Tucson

Dec 28

Ohio vs. Colorado State

Military bowl

Annapolis, Md.

Dec 28

Tulane vs. North Carolina

Alamo Bowl

San Antonio

Dec 28

California vs. Kansas State

Independence Bowl

Shreveport, La.

Dec 28

Army vs. Baylor

Music City Bowl

Nashville

30 Dec

Minnesota vs. LSU

ReliaQuest Bowl

Tampa

31 Dec

Iowa vs. Clemson

Sun Bowl

El Paso, Texas

31 Dec

Georgia Tech vs. Arizona State

Citrus bowl

Orlando

31 Dec

Illinois vs. Georgia

Texas Bowl

Houston

31 Dec

South Carolina vs. TCU

Fiesta Bowl

Glendale, Arizona.

31 Dec

No. 11 Ole Miss or No. 6 Penn State vs. No. 3 BYU

Bowl of peaches

Atlanta

January 1st

No. 12 Boise State or No. 5 Ohio State vs. No. 4 Miami

Bowl with roses

Pasadena, California.

January 1st

No. 9 Notre Dame or No. 8 Tennessee vs. No. 1 Oregon

Bowl of sugar

New Orleans

January 1st

No. 10 Alabama or No. 7 Indiana vs. No. 2 Texas

Gator Bowl

Jacksonville

January 2

SMU vs. Vanderbilt

Bowl for the first answer

Dallas

January 3rd

West Virginia vs. East Carolina

Duke’s Mayo Bowl

Charlotte

January 3rd

Wisconsin vs. Louisville

Bahamas Bowl

Nassau

January 4th

Northern Illinois vs. Jacksonville State

Bowl of oranges

Miami Gardens, Florida.

January 9

Fiesta Bowl winner vs. Sugar Bowl winner

Cotton bowl

Arlington, Texas

January 10

Peach Bowl winner vs. Rose Bowl winner

National Championship

Atlanta

January 20

Orange Bowl winner vs. Cotton Bowl winner

Note that South Carolina State replaces North Carolina Central as the MEAC’s emissary to the Celebration Bowl; it would be the Bulldogs’ first game appearance since 2021 when they defeated Jackson State 31–10… South Georgia joined the Sun Belt in 2014, a year after its potential Frisco Bowl opponent, Western Kentuckyleft… Miami-Ohio and Marshall (Boca Raton Bowl) were MAC rivals for many years, most notably from 1997 to 2004 under legendary coaches Randy Walker, Terry Hoeppner and Bob Pruett.

Alabama and of Indiana (CFP First Round) would be the Hoosier State’s second bowl-equivalent game, joining the national championship between Georgia and the Crimson Tide after the 2021 season… Oh miss defeated penn States (CFP First Round) 38–25 in the Peach Bowl last season… Toledo is 1-0 against all-time Michigan (Detroit Bowl), after beating a bad Wolverines team in 2008… MARINE and Connecticut (Armed Forces Bowl) were in the AAC together from 2015 to ’19… Ditto for Missouri and Texas Tech (Liberty Bowl) in the Big 12 from 1996 to 2011, as well Texas A&M and COLORADO (Las Vegas Bowl) from ’96 to 2010… Memphis and Boston College (Fenway Bowl) could have ended up together in a proposal the super conference; more on that in a minute… Pittsburgh and Rutgers (Pinstripe Bowl) were conference mates in the Big East from 1991 to 2012… Illinois and Georgia (Citrus Bowl) have never met in football.

Quarterfinal fun: First meeting with the Nittany Lions BYU (Fiesta Bowl) since 1992; Notre Dame and of Oregon (Rose Bowl) first meeting since 1982; to the Hoosiers and of Texas (Sugar Bowl) first meeting since 1966… ​​Not only could he West Virginia and East Carolina (First Responder) ended up together in the aforementioned superconference, their matchup would have added to the Mountaineers’ juice shopping out from a 2026 game against the Pirates … If the chalk holds true from a standings perspective, the Hurricanes and Ducks (Cotton Bowl) haven’t met since Miami won a 2-0 barnburner in 1958 during what Longhorns and Cougars (Orange Bowl) played last year.