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More Jews would have voted for Harris with Josh Shapiro on the ticket: exit poll finds
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More Jews would have voted for Harris with Josh Shapiro on the ticket: exit poll finds

First Vice President Kamala Harris major campaign decisionselecting Minnesota Governor Tim Walz fish Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro as her running mate — was reversed with Jewish voters, an exit poll obtained exclusively by The Post reveals.

The Harris-Walz ticket won Jewish voters in Pennsylvania by seven percentage points, 48 ​​percent to 41 percent, over the GOP ticket of Donald Trump and JD Vance, according to the poll by Honan Strategy Group for the Teach Coalition, an affiliate of the Coalition. Union of Orthodox Jews.

However, 53 percent of Jewish voters said they would have pulled the lever for the veep if Shapiro had been her number two, while support for Trump-Vance fell to 38 percent.

The results suggest that Harris would have come close or even won Pennsylvania — which he lost to Trump by 2.1 percent — or other swing states if he had picked the popular Shapiro, who Jewish community leaders supported her. at the time she was subjected to a “nasty, anti-Semitic campaign” that led to his passing for the VP spot.

Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro has been an active surrogate for Kamala Harris throughout the campaign. Daniella Heminghaus / USA TODAY NETWORK

as it was defeated Pennsylvania Democratic Senator Bob Casey According to the poll, he ranked ahead of Harris-Walz among Jewish voters, with 50 percent saying they support the three-term incumbent and 40 percent supporting Republican Sen.-elect David McCormick.

Harris also failed to crack 50 percent of Jewish voters in New York’s 1st and 4th Congressional Districts on Long Island, as well as the 17th, 18th, 19th, and 22nd Districts in the Hudson Valley and upstate—a stunning reversal of what what was considered reliable. democratic constituency.

The Harris-Walz ticket won Jewish voters in Pennsylvania by seven percentage points, 48 ​​percent to 41 percent, over the GOP ticket of Donald Trump and JD Vance, according to the poll by Honan Strategy Group for the Teach Coalition, an affiliate of the Coalition. Union of Orthodox Jews. Reuters

In the six districts, both Trump and the Republican House candidates received 41 percent of the Jewish vote, while Harris-Walz received 48 percent — more than half the gap that appeared in a poll by the summer Harris led Trump 56%-37% among Jews. in swing neighborhoods.

Had Shapiro been on the ticket, Harris would have beaten Trump by 12 — 51 percent to 39 percent — in the six battleground states, the poll shows.

“In a post-October 7th world, the vote of the Jewish community is up for grabs more than ever,” said Maury Litwack, founder and CEO of the Teach Coalition.

“It’s absolutely an erosion of Jewish voters for the Democratic Party,” he added. “What drives this is the feelings of the Jewish community towards anti-Semitism.

Shapiro is campaigning with Harris on the eve of the election in Reading, Pa. A?

“The far left has made anti-Israel activity a cornerstone. They have influence in the Democratic Party,” Litwack explained. “This is a wake-up call for the New York Democratic Party.”

The Jewish vote was unevenly distributed in the Empire State.

In the 17th Congressional District in the lower Hudson Valley, 55% Jewish they said they voted to re-elect freshman Republican Mike Lawlerwhile only 31% were for Democrat Mondaire Jones.

However, in the adjoining 18th District, 57 percent of Jewish voters supported incumbent Democratic Rep. Pat Ryan, while only 34 percent went for Republican challenger Alison Esposito.

About half of Jewish voters in New York and 43 percent of Jewish voters in Pennsylvania said the rise in anti-Semitism had a “significant impact” on their vote, while more than 80 percent in both states said it was important to them to remain politically active and involved in local, municipal and state races in the next two years.

The Honan Group/Teach Coalition poll conducted 681 exit poll interviews on Election Day. Results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.75 percentage points.