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College football picks against the spread for every Week 11 Top 25 game
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College football picks against the spread for every Week 11 Top 25 game

The College Football Playoff landscape is always changing with each passing week, and Saturday’s standings in Week 11 are no different.

With matches scored all day, there will be more twists and turns this season. Want to get in on the betting action at Miami vs. Georgia Tech and Michigan vs. Indiana? We have picks against the spread for every ranked match on the card.

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook

Season Record: 70-89-1

Purdue vs. Ohio State Prediction and Pick

Pick: Ohio State (-37.5)

Miami (Florida) vs. Georgia Tech Predictions and Pick

Pick: Georgia Tech (+11.5)

As mentioned above, King’s status is critical and we won’t get much clarity until closer to kickoff, as the first indication is that the Georgia Tech quarterback will be a game-time decision before Saturday with his shoulder injury.

If King doesn’t go, Georgia Tech’s offense will lose steam in the passing game against a vulnerable Miami secondary that ranks outside the top 100 in explosive defense this season.

The strength of Miami’s defense is along the line, ranking 23rd in rushing yards and 30th in yards per carry allowed, but if Georgia Tech is able to deploy the likes of Eric Singleton and Malik Rutherford with a viable of passes, that can open. rush lanes for Jamal Haynes.

Georgia Tech, on the other hand, has been a solid defense all season, 45th in EPA/Play, but much stronger against the run (second in defensive yards) than the pass, which can be a problem against the passing game from Miami that had the Heisman Trophy frontrunner in Ward under center.

However, I can’t overlook the excellence of Yellow Jackets head coach Brent Key as an underdog. Key is 12-6 against the spread as an underdog in his two-plus years at Georgia Tech with nine upsets.

I’ll take the points with the Yellow Jackets.

Florida vs Texas Prediction and Pick

Pick: Texas (-21.5)

Georgia vs. Ole Miss Prediction and Pick

Pick: Georgia (-2.5)

Michigan vs Indiana Prediction and Pick

Pick: Indiana (-13.5)

There is a gap between Indiana and Michigan, that’s for sure, but what is the gap?

Oddsmakers have failed to understand Indiana’s dominance all season, going undefeated against the spread (depending on which number you bet), while Michigan has failed to live up to its rating, just 2-7 vs. number.

The Wolverines’ defense will certainly be the best unit Indiana has faced to date, but the offense continues to lack the ability to last from week to week. Michigan has scored more than 24 points just once in Big Ten play this season and returns its third quarterback of the season in Warren.

Indiana has benefited from an easy schedule, but the team’s ability to play in the backfield is notable against a Michigan defense that lacks explosive offense. Indiana is top five in tackles for loss this season and yards per game allowed. Meanwhile, Michigan is 116th in EPA/Pass and will often be behind the sticks in this one.

This game can snowball Michigan fast. The team’s inability to generate consistent plays will be paramount against an Indiana team that has shown a desire to run it in the second half.

It’s Hoosiers or nothing in it.

Iowa State vs Kansas Prediction and Pick

Pick: Kansas (+3)

Army vs North Texas Prediction and Pick

Pick: North Texas (+6)

Clemson vs Virginia Tech Prediction and Pick

Pick: Virginia Tech (+6.5)

Colorado vs Texas Tech Predictions and Pick

Pick: Texas Tech (+3.5)

South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt Prediction and Pick

Pick: Vanderbilt (+3.5)

Maryland vs Oregon Prediction and Pick

Pick: Oregon (-25)

Mississippi State vs Tennessee Prediction and Pick

Pick: Mississippi State (+23.5)

Tennessee has a matchup with Georgia in Athens next week, and the Vols have failed to live up to oddsmakers’ expectations throughout SEC play, failing to be double-digit favorites in all three instances.

The Vols offense started to come together against Kentucky last week, but I can’t trust this team to blow out a team that shows they can move the ball as the season goes on. Freshman Michael Van Buren Jr. has kept the offense on track over the past five games, leading to coverages in four of five games.

What’s most interesting about Mississippi State’s season trajectory has been its ability to keep up with the best teams on its schedule, covering Georgia and Texas by an average margin of 24 points.

Florida State vs. Notre Dame Prediction and Pick

Pick: Notre Dame (-26.5)

Alabama vs. LSU Prediction and Pick

Pick: Alabama (-2.5)

Washington vs. Prediction and Pick Penn State

Pick: Penn State (-13.5)

This is a great opportunity to support Penn State in the annual “White Out Game.”

Sure, many watched the Nittany Lions last week in a high-scoring matchup with Ohio State, but this is a great matchup for the home favorite to knock off an overmatched Washington team.

The Huskies defense is incredibly vulnerable against the run, which is Penn State’s preferred method of offense. The Nittany Lions rank 10th in yards per game with its dual-threat offense of Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton opening up a passing game that is top 10 in the nation in EPA/Pass.

Washington’s defensive line has been a weak point all season, ranking 92nd in yards and 93rd in EPA/Rush.

Considering the cross-country travel and hostile environment, I like Penn State to pull off a blowout win.

Nevada vs. Boise State Predictions and Pick

Pick: Nevada (+24)

Virginia vs. Prediction and Pick Pittsburgh

Pick: Virginia (+7.5)

BYU vs Utah Prediction and Pick

Pick: Utah (+4)

Utah State vs. Washington State Prediction and Pick

Pick: Utah State (+20.5)

Game odds are periodically updated and subject to change.

Follow Reed on Twitter @ReedWallach and get all your college football bets betstamp @rw33

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