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    See the path, spaghetti patterns for potential Hurricane Sara

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    Meteorologists with The National Hurricane Center said Wednesday they follow a Caribbean system which could strengthen into Hurricane Sara next week.

    The hurricane center said in an advisory Wednesday morning that a “broad area of ​​low pressure” in the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce “a large area of ​​showers and storms” and that environmental conditions appear favorable for further development. The system was designated Invest 99L by the hurricane center Tuesday afternoon.

    “A tropical depression is likely to form over the next two days as the system slowly moves westward into the western Caribbean Sea,” the NHC said Wednesday. “After that, further development is likely as the disturbance moves across the western Caribbean over the weekend.”

    Forecasters said the system is expected to slowly turn northwest by early next week and interests in the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the system’s progress.

    “Regardless of development, heavy rain is expected over Jamaica during the next day,” the hurricane center said Wednesday.

    Will Hurricane Sara Affect the United States?

    AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said Wednesday morning that at least one scenario involves a hurricane moving into Florida next week.

    “Wind shear remains low over much of the Caribbean, and the waters are quite warm (in the 80s F),” AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Bernie Rayno said Wednesday. “And now, with showers and storms starting to pile up, probably not it will be a lot. more until the tropical storm continues to organize into a tropical storm.”

    “There are several scenarios with the feature in the Caribbean that are related to the speed of development and early tracking that could affect landfall and direct impact later,” AccuWeather Senior Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said Wednesday. “Not only does this have a significant chance of becoming a hurricane, but it can become a major hurricane very quickly.”

    If a tropical storm or hurricane forms in the western Caribbean, its track is likely to be strongly influenced by the position of a high-pressure dome along the southern Atlantic coast of the United States.

    AccuWeather forecasters said interests in Central America from Nicaragua to Belize, southeastern Mexico, Cuba, the Cayman Islands, Florida and the Bahamas are “strongly advised” to monitor the system’s progress.

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    Invest AL99 track tracker

    Spaghetti models Invest 99L

    Illustrations include a range of forecasting tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five best performing models to make its forecasts.

    Gabe Hauari is a national news reporter at USA TODAY. You can follow X @GabeHauari or email them at [email protected].

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