Northwestern (3-5) has limped through its first eight games, going just 1-5 against Power Four opponents while holding a lowly 2-6 ATS record. Their lone Big Ten win came in a 37-10 blowout over @Maryland , but the Wildcats have posted an abysmal 0% Win Expectation in each of their other four B10 contests. The offense is the focus of the team’s problems, ranking 129th in EPA/game and 132nd in points per scoring opportunity, in addition to 126th in EPA/dropback. Defensively, it’s another matter, with Northwestern’s balanced D ranking 10th for every rushing touchdown allowed and 17th in 20+ yard completion rate (11.8%).

Purdue (1-6) has yet to beat an FBS opponent and is coming off a 35-0 blowout at the hands of undefeated Oregon. Their best moment came in a blistering comeback against @Illinois where they put up 49 points, but still fell to the Illini 50-49 despite a 75% expectation to win. Purdue relies on a strong rushing offense that ranks 7th in yards per play (11.9 yards) and 18th in yards before contact. However, they are hampered by one of the worst defenses in the country, which ranks 130th in EPA/rush and 132nd in yards per dropback allowed.

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Game details and how to watch 2024 Northwestern @ Purdue

· Date: Saturday, November 2, 2024
· Time: 12:00 PM EST
· Site: Ross-Ade Stadium
· City: West Lafayette, IN
· TV/Streaming: BTN

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Game odds for Northwestern @ Purdue

The latest odds from BetMGM as of Thursday:

• Money line: Northwestern (-115), Purdue (-100)
• Spread: Northwest (-1.5)
• Over/Under: 46.5 points

Purdue actually opened as a (-1.5) favorite, but that line has been cut to (+1.5) at press time. The money line has held relatively steady in addition to the total which opened at 46 and now stands at 46.5.

NBC Sports Betting Best Bet

NBC sports betting analyst Eric Froton (@CFFroton) thinks:
“With both defenses struggling to contain opposing offenses, and QB Ryan Browne giving Purdue a dual-threat option at QB, I think Over 46.5 points is worth a look.”

Listen to the Bet the Edge podcast as hosts, Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick, provide listeners with clear insight, market analysis and statistical data to help bettors gain more information before placing their bets.

BetMGM College Football Insights: National Championship

Line Movement (Last Week to Now)

• Georgia from +350 to +325
• Oregon from +500 to +450
• Texas A&M +3000 to +2200

Highest ticket %

• Ohio State 14.5%
• Texas 12.0%
• Georgia 11.1%

Highest handling %

• Ohio State 18.9%
• Georgia 17.0%
• Texas 11.7%

The biggest debts

• Ohio State
• Tennessee
• COLORADO

Facing quarterbacks for Northwestern @ Purdue

• Northwest: QB Jack Lausch leads a weakened passing attack that ranks 127th in success rate and 120th in passing explosiveness with a 53 percent completion rate. He is 4-4 and has done a commendable job avoiding sacks with a 15.7% sack pressure rate, which is important as the Wildcats are allowing a 34% pressure rate (95th). While Lausch has been pretty disappointing thus far, posting a 58% PFF passer grade with the second-lowest completion rate among P4 signal callers, he’s still an upgrade over Opening Day starter Mike Wright .

• Purdue: Hudson Card transferred from Texas, where his services were no longer needed following the arrival of Quinn Ewers and the commitment of Arch Manning. He started the first five games of the season, completing 64 percent of his passes for 6.6 yards per attempt and a decent PFF 75th percentile passing grade. When OC Graham Harrell was fired after Week 6, Card was demoted, which opened the door for redshirt freshman Ryan Browne to take over. Browne completed 61 percent of his throws for 8.2 YPA and a 3-to-1 ratio to go with a strong 85.3 offensive grade. He performed extremely well against Illinois (91% game rating), but struggled in his last start against a stout Oregon defense.

Recent trends and statistics for Purdue and Northwestern

• Northwestern allows 21 completions per game, third-fewest among Big Ten teams, while Purdue completes 15 passes per game, which is fourth-fewest among B10 programs.
• QB Jack Lausch has converted 16 percent of his third down situations this season, which is the second-lowest rate among P4 quarterbacks. (Bock Glenn = #1 at 15%)
• Purdue has thrown for 1,196 passing yards in seven games (171 YPG), which ranks 120th among FBS programs, while Northwestern is allowing 234 passing yards per game, 93rd nationally.
• Purdue allows gains of 20+ yards on 16 percent of their pass attempts (27 of 171), the second-highest punt rate among Power Four programs. Kentucky allowed the highest completion rate of 20+ yards among P4 programs at 16.6 percent.

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