close
close

Association-anemone

Bite-sized brilliance in every update

    • New polls for the presidential election have been released in Pennsylvania, Michigan, NC
    asane

    New polls for the presidential election have been released in Pennsylvania, Michigan, NC

    Online Niel Posted on

    play

    Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris remain in a slim race to claim swing states that could solidify an Electoral College victory, new polls released by UMass Lowell / YouGov show.

    In the last days of the electionsbattleground states such as North CarolinaMichigan and New Hampshire remain tightly contested for both candidates as they make their final pitches to voters before Nov. 5. Polling continues not only in those swing states, but across the country. predict a close race for the White House.

    That nail biter of a race coming to an end in five days, trump card and Harris plan to both are addressed to supporters Thursday in Nevadaanother key swing state.

    Here’s what you need to know about the latest polls:

    Live Updates on Election 2024: Who runs the polls? Trump and Harris trigger the final push

    Trump leads Harris in North Carolina

    Trump leads Harris by two percentage points to one new poll by UMass Lowell/YouGov released on Thursday.

    The poll of 650 likely voters showed Trump leading Harris 47 percent to 45 percent in the final days of the 2024 election. The poll, conducted Oct. 16-23, had a margin of error of 4.2 points percentages.

    In a troubling sign for the vice president, 74 percent of those polled in the state said they felt the country was on the wrong track, while 57 percent somewhat or strongly disapproved of Joe Biden’s job as president.

    As in many polls, a majority of respondents (49%) give Trump the edge when asked who they think is best positioned to manage the economy. Most respondents also said Trump would be best to handle the conflict in the Middle East (48%) and immigration (52%).

    However, reflecting other national trends, Harris received the advantage of respondents on abortion (50%).

    Harris was also perceived by those surveyed as more trustworthy (45%) and more likely to follow the law (46%), while Trump was perceived by 48% of those surveyed as more corrupt than his opponent.

    Harris leads Trump in Michigan

    In Michigan, Harris holds a slight 4-point lead over Trump, according to the latest UMass survey.

    The poll of 600 likely voters showed Harris leading Trump 49%-45%. Conducted Oct. 16-24, the poll had a margin of error of 4.49 percentage points.

    But while Harris maintains his lead, 66 percent of those polled said the country is headed in the wrong direction — a troubling sign for the vice president.

    Trump was slightly more favored than Harris when respondents were asked who would best handle the economy, 46 percent to 45 percent.

    Other findings:

    • 56% somewhat or strongly disapprove of Biden;
    • 46% said Trump is best at handling Middle East conflicts;
    • 57% gave Harris advantage in handling abortion;
    • 49% said Harris was more trustworthy, while 52% said Trump was the more corrupt of the two.

    Harris with a slim lead in Pennsylvania

    The UMass survey showed Harris a narrow one-percentage-point lead over Trump in the key state of Pennsylvania.

    The poll of 800 likely voters was conducted Oct. 16-23, showing Harris leading Trump 48%-47%. The leader was well within the poll’s margin of error (3.73 percentage points).

    Respondents favored Trump when it came to which candidate would do better on the economy (50 percent to 44 percent) and on handling the Israel-Hamas war (47 percent to 39 percent).

    Harris a little ahead in New Hampshire

    Harris’ lead in New Hampshire is slightly larger, at seven percentage points, UMass found.

    The Harris poll of 600 likely voters showed Harris ahead 50%-43%, with a margin of error of 4.38 percentage points. The survey was conducted between October 16-23.

    In a shift from other polls, a majority of respondents, 47 percent, slightly favored Harris in handling the economy. However, more respondents gave Trump the edge on handling the Middle East conflict (44%) and immigration (44%).

    The survey also found:

    • 72% of respondents think the country is heading in the wrong direction;
    • 56% somewhat or strongly disapprove of Biden;
    • 57% think Harris would handle the abortion issue better;
    • 53% said Harris was more trustworthy and 54% said Trump was more corrupt.

    Things to consider about surveys

    The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results to be representative of the entire population.

    When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

    Pew has, too found that most pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

    Eric Lagatta covers breaking news and trends for USA TODAY. Contact him at [email protected]

    Online Niel
    View all posts

    You Might Also Like