close
close

Association-anemone

Bite-sized brilliance in every update

Most voters ready to accept election results, but doubt Trump will: poll
asane

Most voters ready to accept election results, but doubt Trump will: poll

Despite ongoing claims of voter fraud and the mishandling of the ballot by the former president Donald Trump and his allies, 86 percent of registered voters in a new ABC News/Ipsos poll say they are personally prepared to accept the outcome of the 2024 presidential election. choice as legitimate, regardless of which candidate wins.

Two-thirds, however, think Trump is not ready to accept the result as legitimate. Less than half, 30 percent, say the same about Vice President Kamala Harris.

Are you ready to accept the election result? Among registered voters

ABC News/Ipsos poll

The public’s willingness to accept the result is virtually unchanged from August and up from 79% in October 2020. Seven in 10 registered voters also express confidence that votes will be counted accurately, little changed from the 2022 midterms .

At the same time, concerns about the electoral process resonate with a minority of voters — especially Trump supporters. Overall, 31% say they are not so confident or not at all confident that the votes will be counted accurately, rising to 54% of those who support Trump in the election. Only 6% of Harris supporters do not trust the count.

See PDF for full results.

However, even among Trump supporters, 81 percent say they are prepared to accept the election result as legitimate. That amounts to 92% of Harris supporters in this poll, produced for the ABC by Langer Research Associates with the field work of plaster.

Remarkably, 69% of those who do not trust the vote count say they are prepared to accept the result anyway. It’s similar, 70%, only among Trump supporters who lack confidence in the count.

Signs direct voters to a ballot drop-off location in Denver, Colo., Oct. 25, 2024.

David Zalubowski/AP

That reported on Friday33% of registered voters — including 66% of Trump supporters — support Trump’s false claims that President Joe Biden did not legitimately win in 2020. These views are closely related to confidence in the election count: 90% of voters who say Biden legitimately won the election express confidence that votes will be counted accurately this election cycle, compared with 30% of voters saying Biden did not legitimately win.

However, most say they will accept this year’s result, regardless of how they feel about the 2020 race. Among those who do not believe Biden legitimately won, 72% say they are prepared to accept this year’s result . That’s 93% of those who say Biden won legitimately.

Trump said he was willing to accept the result “if everything is fair,” while expressing concern about the election process. Harris’ campaign, in turn, said she would preside over the election certification as vice president regardless of who wins.

Harris supporters are particularly skeptical that Trump will accept the election result as legitimate; 94% believe he is not ready to do so. By contrast, about six in 10 Trump supporters (59%) think he will accept the result; 36% think not.

In contrast, nearly all of Harris’ supporters, 97 percent, think she is ready to accept the election’s outcome. Far fewer Trump supporters, 40 percent, say the same for her.

Partisanship

Willingness to accept the outcome of the election crosses political party affiliations, ranging from 91% of Democrats and 88% of independents to 81% of Republicans.

Opinions on the electoral process. Among registered voters

ABC News/Ipsos poll

While willingness to accept election results is bipartisan, concerns about the electoral process are more divided. Ninety-three percent of Democrats are confident that votes in the presidential election will be counted accurately, falling to 68 percent of independents and just 51 percent of Republicans.

Acceptance of the 2020 election results also varies widely by partisanship. Sixty-five percent of Republicans say Biden did not win the election legitimately, compared to 29 percent of independents and just 3 percent of Democrats.

Methodology

This ABC News/Ipsos poll was conducted online via the probability-based Ipsos KnowledgePanel® from October 18-22, 2024, in English and Spanish, to a national random sample of 2,808 adults, including 2,392 registered voters. Partisan splits are 29%-29%-30%, Democrat-Republican-Independent, among all respondents, and 32%-32%-29% among registered voters. The results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2 percentage points, including the design effect, for both the full sample and registered voters. Sampling error is not the only source of differences in surveys.

The poll was conducted for ABC News by Langer Research Associateswith sampling and data collection by Ipsos. See details on ABC News’ survey methodology Here.