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Who is winning the presidential race now? Follow the latest polls
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Who is winning the presidential race now? Follow the latest polls

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With Election Day just next week and many Americans already casting their ballots, it’s heating up the presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is in the race.

Ongoing polls reflect the split on who should become the nation’s next commander-in-chief. With about a week to go until the 2024 general election, here are the polls, odds and a historical have said over the past nine weeks and how it continues to change as we move towards Election day Tuesday, November 5.

Who is leading in the polls and favored in the ratings?

  • ABC News Project 538 shows Harris leading in national polls at 48.1% to Trump’s 46.7% – a 1.4% narrower margin once again this week. This compares to 48.2% over Trump 46.4% last week compared to 48.5% over Trump 46.1% two weeks ago compared to 48.5% over Trump 45.9% ago three weeks ago compared to Harris 48.5% over Trump 45.8% four weeks ago compared to Harris 48.3% over Trump 45.6% five weeks ago compared to Harris 48.3% over Trump 45.3% six weeks ago compared to Harris 47.1% over Trump 44.4% seven weeks ago compared to Harris 47.1% over Trump at 43.9% eight weeks ago, or compared to Harris 47.0% to Trump’s 43.7% nine weeks ago.
  • 270towin shows Harris leading national polls by 0.7%, compared to 1.8% over Trump last week, up from 2.5% over Trump two weeks ago, over Harris 2.8% over Trump three weeks ago weeks, over Harris 3.7% over Trump four weeks ago , compared to Harris over Trump by 3% five weeks ago, over Harris by 2.5% over Trump six weeks ago, over Harris by 0.9 percent over Trump seven weeks ago, versus Harris’ 2.7 percent over Trump eight weeks ago, or compared to Harris’ 1.9 percent over Trump nine weeks ago.
  • realclearpolling shows betting odds favoring Trump by a +0.1 margin over Harris, a reversal from last week when Harris was favored by a +0.9 margin over Trump compared to +1, 4 over Trump two weeks ago, compared to +2 three weeks ago , which were tied, compared to Harris favored +1.8 over Trump four weeks ago, compared to Harris favored +2.3 over Trump five weeks ago vs Harris +2 over Trump six weeks ago vs Harris +1.1 over Trump seven weeks ago vs Harris +1.8 over Trump eight weeks ago and vs. Harris +1.7 vs. Trump nine weeks ago.
  • Polymarketa crypto-trading platform expresses odds by the betting public, in favor of Trump 66.5% over Harris 33.4% – a much wider margin than last week’s odds of 61.4% over Harris 38, 6% compared to Trump 56.9% over Harris 42.6% two weeks ago compared to Trump favored over Harris 7.5% three weeks ago compared to Harris favored over Trump by 2 % four weeks ago vs Harris over Trump 3% five weeks ago vs Harris over Trump 2% six weeks ago vs Harris over Trump 1% seven ago weeks or compared to Trump leading Harris by 4% eight weeks ago or compared to Harris leading by 1 percentage point over Trump nine weeks ago.

Polls and ratings are constantly changing. These figures were reflected as of Monday, October 28, 2024.

Historian Allan Lichtman breaks down the 2024 presidential election

Presidential historian Allan LichtmanThe 77-year-old is a distinguished professor of history at American University and has predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election over former President Donald Trump. He claims to use a set of 13 “keys” to make their choices, which range from economic indicators to the charisma of the candidates.

Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of nearly every election in the last half century, except for the 2000 race, in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.

How accurate have polls or odds been in past presidential elections?

The betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866according to Conversation, a nonprofit news organization.

The voting record is more difficult because different surveys asking different audiences can often attract larger margins of error. According to Pew Researchconfidence in opinion polls has suffered given the errors in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. In both general elections, many polls underestimated the appeal of Republican Donald Trump.

When is election day 2024?

Election day it is Tuesday, November 5. New York polls will be open from 6:00 a.m. to 9:00 p.m

When is early voting in New York?

In-person early voting for the general election has begun Saturday, October 26 and passes through Sunday, November 3. Contact your County Electoral Council for polling places.

When is the deadline to register to vote in New York?

The the deadline for the general election was Saturday, October 26. All applications – including in-person applications – had to be received by this date.

Note: It is now too late to register to vote for the 2024 general election.

How to register to vote in New York

There are several ways to register to vote in New York:

  • Register online at elections.ny.gov
  • Register in person at your county Board of Elections, any state agency voter registration center, or the Department of Motor Vehicles
  • Register by mail by requesting a form. You can call 1-800-367-8683 or request a form through the New York Voter Registration Form Request mailing list. Once the form is completed, print, sign and date the form and mail it to your county Board of Elections by October 26.