close
close

Association-anemone

Bite-sized brilliance in every update

Bills-Seahawks Player Accessories: Chance to fade the Seahawks Stud RB
asane

Bills-Seahawks Player Accessories: Chance to fade the Seahawks Stud RB

BET $5 GET $200 BONUS BET

DRFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

$1,000 FIRST BET RESET (MUST USE CODE NEWSWEEK)

ESPN BET

$1,500 FIRST BET OFFER

BETMGM

$200 BONUS OR $1,000 FIRST BET SAFETY NET

BET365

FIRST BET $1,000

CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

BET $5, WIN $300 BONUS BET

FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

During that span, they allowed the 10th fewest rushing yards per game. They also have the fourth-highest turnover rate and have allowed the sixth-fewest missed tackles.

That last stat is especially important against Kenneth Walker, whose superpower is his ability to get away. The Seahawks’ offensive line isn’t the type to generate a ton of push in the running game, as evidenced by the third-lowest adjusted yards before contact.

But the Seahawks are second in forced fumble rate, which is largely due to Kenneth Walker.

So in a matchup against a Bills team that doesn’t miss many tackles, here’s assuming Walker will be locked up in the ground game when the Seahawks run, and it’s worth noting that they’re not a run-heavy team.

The Seahawks pass at the highest rate in the whole NFLwith a pass rate of 69.2%. This, in part, is because of their issues in the running game, but the Seahawks have generally been a pass-happy team with Geno Smith at QB.

In neutral (seven-point score either way) scripts, the Seahawks still pass at the second-highest frequency, with a 66.1 passer rate. The only team ahead of them is passing at a rate of 66.3, so it’s a negligible difference.

Sub for Walker is the game here.

Kenneth Walker under 65.5 rushing yards (-110): 1 unit

James Cook 65+ Rush. Yards (+115) Fanatics

On the other side of the field, Bills RB James Cook has a great matchup to hit his quick prop for us.

For starters, despite having a superstar QB in Josh Allen, the Bills have generally been a run-friendly team. They run the ball at the 10th highest rate in the NFLwith the ninth highest neutral rush rate.

This change started at the end of last season and has continued this year. As a result, James Cook had a good season.

He rushed for at least 65 yards in three of five games, and two of those passing games were tough games where you didn’t want to target him, against the Ravens and Titans.

Meanwhile, the Seahawks have a porous rushing defense. They allowed the fourth-most yards per game (146.1), the fifth-worst yards per carry.

Looking even deeper, they allowed the fifth-most yards after contact per attempt and the seventh-most adjusted yards before contact. Being top seven in both yards before and after contact is generally not a good sign for a team’s rushing defense.

Overall, seven different RBs this year have reached the 65-yard mark against the Seahawks (and keep in mind, they’ve only played in seven games). Here are all the RBs who had success against Seattle:

  • Tyrone Tracy Jr: 128 yards on 18 carries, 7.2 YPC
  • Bijan Robinson: 103 yards on 21 carries, 4.9 YPC
  • Isaac Guerendo: 99 yards on 10 carries, 9.9 YPC
  • Antonio Gibson: 96 yards on 11 carries, 8.7 YPC
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 78 yards on 14 carries, 5.6 YPC
  • Jordan Mason: 73 yards on 9 carries, 8.1 YPC

The list above shows that twice this year, teams have had two separate running backs rush for 65 yards in the same game.

Look for Cook to go on Sunday.

James Cook over 65 rushing yards (+115): 1 unit

Newsweek may earn an affiliate commission if you sign up through the links in this article. See the sportsbook operator’s terms and conditions for important details. Sportsbook operators have no influence on newsroom coverage.