The ESPNs Football Power Index (FPI) always predicts the outcome of every college football game. Already 12 weeks ago, the model predictions for Week 13 have been updated.

When it comes to the Vanderbilt-LSU game, the model sees the Tigers as a heavy favorite. The Tigers have a 70.7% chance to win the conference game, while the Commodores only have a 29.3% chance.

It’s been a rough few weeks for the Tigers who have lost 3 straight games after starting 6-1. Week 12 was the low point for the Tigers, who lost by 11 points to Florida.

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Vanderbilt also enters the game with a 6-4 record, and the Commodores had a bye in Week 12. The last time Vanderbilt played, they couldn’t handle South Carolina and lost that game by 28 -7.

Historically, LSU has owned Vanderbilt. The Commodores haven’t beaten the Tigers since the 1990 season and have won just 7 of their 32 historic games. These SEC foes last played in 2020. The Tigers went up to Nashville and easily defeated the Commodores 41-7.

For the Tigers, stopping Diego Pavia will be the key to this game. Pavia, who transferred to the Commodores before this season, has been a star for this team. The QB threw for 1,843 yards with 15 TDs and 3 INTs. The dual-threat QB also rushed for 628 yards and 5 TDs.

On offense, the Tigers will need to score more points than they did in Week 12. Against the Gators, the Tigers managed just 16 points even with nearly 400 yards of offense.

This SEC game will begin at Tiger Stadium on Saturday at 7:45 pm ET.