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LSU vs Texas A&M prediction, picks and best bets
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LSU vs Texas A&M prediction, picks and best bets

SEC football teams have made so many headlines this season that LSU and Texas A&M have somehow flown under the radar despite being the only two teams still undefeated in the league.

With only one other conference matchup between the ranked teams on Saturday, now is the time for the No. 8 Tigers and No. 14 Aggies to take center stage.

Texas A&M will host the game at Kyle Field, and the Aggies are favored by 2.5 points on their home court. Over/under is 53.5 or 54 points.

Continue reading for our LSU vs. Texas A&M picks and best bets.

LSU vs Texas A&M predictions and best bets

Football coaches always want balance in the attack. So far this season, LSU’s Brian Kelly is losing that battle.

LSU (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) ranks fifth in the SEC in total offense with 450 yards per game, but there is a major discrepancy in rushing (128 yards per game) versus passing (322 ypg).

Texas A&M, on the other hand, is one of the most balanced offenses in the conference. The Aggies (6-1 SU, 2-5 ATS) average 218 rushing yards per game and 186 passing yards. That rushing offense is second best in the SEC.

That offensive balance and raucous home court crowd will allow Texas A&M to make two or three bigger plays than LSU. In a close game, a big play can make the difference.

And there’s this: Since 2017, when two ranked teams have faced off, the home team is 182-89 straight up (67%).

There’s also a chance Texas A&M won’t be balanced to win. Its rushing offense has a great matchup against LSU’s rush defense, which allowed 180 rushing yards to Ole Miss and 243 rushing yards to South Carolina.

How many times can LSU survive being pounded by opponents on the ground? If Texas A&M is able to run the ball, it will put points on the board.

Staying on that theme, Texas A&M quarterback Le’Veon Moss should perform well on Saturday. He has eclipsed 80.5 rushing yards in five of seven games this season. Rushed for at least 110 yards in three of four SEC games.

LSU odds analysis vs. Texas A&M

Why Texas A&M could win as a favorite

Best Odds: -135 at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since losing to Notre Dame in the season opener, Texas A&M has kept going. The Aggies have won six in a row, including two home wins against SEC teams.

The biggest reason is the running game, which ranks second in the league with an average of 218.6 yards per game. While LSU’s defense hasn’t been good, the Tigers do better against the run than the pass. That being said, LSU’s defense still ranks in the bottom half of the SEC rankings.

If the Aggies can run the ball effectively, they will have a great chance to win, as nothing humbles a defense more than an opponent that can win first downs with big runs.

Why LSU could win as an underdog

Best Odds: +115 at Caesars Sportsbook

It’s all about defense for LSU. The Tigers rank 14th out of 16 SEC teams in total defense with 358.6 yards allowed per game. They were better last week in a 34-10 win over Arkansas when they allowed 278 total yards and a season-low 10 points. This might have been an exception, though.

If LSU turns a corner on defense, it will help prevent Texas A&M from making big plays — something the Aggies already don’t do well. That would keep the Kyle Field crowd manageable for LSU.

LSU has already won two SEC games on the road this season, including one against South Carolina in which it allowed 33 points.