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    Sara path sees a big change

    Online Niel Posted on

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    A change in Path of Tropical Storm Sara has a significant impact its timelinecasting doubt on whether it would survive a landing over Central America with enough steam to regain power and continue its original course to Florida.

    The National Hurricane Center announced that Tropical Storm Sara had formed on Thursday. Any further development will depend on where Sarah’s the eye grazes the northern coast of Honduras.

    If the storm’s center remains over water, it could continue to intensify and become Hurricane Sara, but further development will be unlikely if it makes landfall. If the second scenario happens, the chances decrease salt it will be able to exit the Gulf of Mexico with enough energy to regain power and reach Florida.

    Timeline of Tropical Storm Sara 10:00 a.m. Thursday

    Tropical Depression 19 formed Thursday morning and will continue to develop before reaching Honduras later.

    Sustained wind speeds were just below the 39 mph threshold needed to designate the system a tropical storm, but Tropical Storm Sara is expected to form later Thursday. The depression was moving west at about 14 mph.

    Timeline of Tropical Storm Sara 19:00 Thursday

    Tropical Storm Sara may have formed by Thursday night. At this point, Sara will begin a parallel journey to the northern coast of Honduras. The storm’s path here will play an important role in how strong it is able to become and whether it can survive a deeper path over land in the Yucatan Peninsula. Sara’s path is expected to slow down a bit by Thursday evening as it continues westward.

    Timeline of Tropical Storm Sara 19:00 Friday

    Tropical Storm Sara will begin to have a significant impact on Honduras and Nicaragua by Friday evening. The storm is expected to stall and move around the region by Saturday, where torrential rains will cause life-threatening and potentially catastrophic flash floods and mudslides in areas along and near Sierra La Esperanza, Honduras.

    In total, Sara is expected to produce between 10 and 20 inches of rain by early next week, with isolated storms of about 30 inches over northern Honduras.

    Nearby regions, including the rest of Honduras, Belize, El Salvador, eastern Guatemala and western Nicaragua will see 5 to 10 inches of rain, with a localized total of about 15 inches.

    Timeline of Tropical Storm Sara 19:00 Saturday

    Tropical Storm Sara will not be much further west Saturday night compared to Friday night. It is expected to be northeast of Trujillo, located on the Caribbean coast of the Colón department of Honduras. The storm will begin to gather steam as it begins to move northwest over the Bay Islands.

    Timeline of Tropical Storm Sara 19:00 Sunday

    Tropical Storm Sara will move back over water as it prepares to make landfall in northern Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula. The salt path Sunday night will have Belize completely clear and a good chunk of the Yucatan Peninsula by Monday evening.

    Timeline of Tropical Storm Sara 19:00 Monday

    By Monday, Tropical Storm Sara will likely weaken enough to be downgraded to a tropical depression. The center of the storm is expected to be somewhere near the central border between Campeche, Yucatan and Quintana Roo.

    Tropical Storm Sara timeline, 7 p.m. Tuesday

    From here, AccuWeather and National Hurricane Center paths diverge. The NHC’s current predictions only extend through Tuesday morning and have the storm forming in the western Gulf of Mexico.

    AccuWeather predicts the storm will make a sharper hook off the Yucatan Peninsula and reach the central Gulf closer to the east. From there, AccuWeather shows a potential landfall in Florida by Wednesday.

    It’s still uncertain whether Sara, or what’s left of Sara, will be strong enough to make it to Florida.

    Editor’s note: This story has been updated to reflect that Tropical Depression 19 has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Sara.

    Online Niel
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