We are in the last month of 2024 college football season, the first College Football Playoff Standings they have been released and it is the way home. But don’t worry because that just means we’re turning the mayhem up to 11, fittingly as we enter Week 11, and there will be even more teams on upset alert in the final four weeks before we head into conference play. championship weekend.

It’s a fascinating Week 11 slate, with some titanic SEC matchups between ranked foes, but also several undefeated teams facing tough matchups or even trap games where an upset is in the cards. Still, one undefeated in a big game that we don’t include in our college football picks? The Indiana Hoosiers. Coach Cig’s team faces Michigan in Week 11, but I honestly don’t doubt Indiana against a team they are clearly better than, especially in Bloomington.

Shout out to Clemson in Blacksburg, Iowa State in Kansas and even Colorado for not staying on alert. But that still leaves us with a pair of SEC contenders and three other undefeated teams for Week 11 college football upset picks.

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Record of upset elections in 2024: 14-31

Opponent: at North Texas | Time: Saturday, November 9, 3:30 PM ET (ESPN) | Spread: ARMY -4.5

Army went undefeated last week despite the surprising absence of star quarterback Bryson Daily, though perhaps that says a lot more about Air Force than the Black Knights without their Heisman Trophy contender. And now that Daily’s availability for the Week 11 matchup with North Texas is also in question, that puts the undefeated service academy in real trouble.

If Daily plays, that might look silly. The North Texas defense is, to put it kindly, putrid, and even if they run the triple option, the Black Knights would absolutely hang a big number on them. Even against another weak Air Force defense, Dewayne Coleman just couldn’t move the ball as well as Daily in this offense.

On the other hand, however, the only thing the Mean Green are capable of is scoring. While Army’s defense has been a force in its own right, North Texas should be able to come in and find spots to put points on the board. Even with Daily, this could be a shootout, but without him, Jeff Monken’s team will be in real danger of taking their first loss of the season.

Opponent: at Utah | Time: Saturday, November 9, 10:15 PM ET (ESPN) | Spread: BYU -3.5

BYU fans, I apologize once again for the oversight of leaving the Cougars out of the initial AP Top 25 projections on Saturday night. And I know this sounds rich as I put the team on angry alert, which certainly won’t make this amazing fan base any happier with me. But when it’s the Holy War, we all know anything can happen.

The best-named rivalry in college football, and one of the most entertaining, is back after being on hiatus since 2021, and we’re heading to Rice-Eccles Stadium for what is now a conference game. And rest assured, I think BYU is by far the best team in this game. We had our doubts about Utah entering the season with Cam Rising, and well, that’s even easier to see when the veteran quarterback isn’t leading the offense.

But again, all bets are off in the Holy War, especially with BYU having to go on the road for this matchup. Sure, Provo is a short drive from Salt Lake City, but the change in atmosphere makes it feel so much different. I honestly don’t have a football reason why the Cougars don’t win this game, but I’d feel remiss if I didn’t mention it given the nature of this rivalry.

Opponent: at 16 Ole Miss | Time: Saturday, November 9, 3:30 PM ET (ABC) | Spread: UGA -2.5

Perhaps more than people might realize, this is a massive place for the Georgia Bulldogs. Especially since their season-opening win over Clemson looks worse after the Tigers lost to Louisville and could turn into a pumpkin again, the only truly high-quality win on Kirby Smart’s resume of this season is the Texas one. Granted, that’s a big win, but when you then factor in a loss at Alabama and now to Ole Miss, it starts to look worse.

Lane Kiffin’s Rebels hanging 63 points on Arkansas last week is certainly fresh in people’s minds coming into this game, but I’m actually paying more attention to these defenses. I just don’t see Ole Miss seeing the 60-point mark on the horizon in this game, especially if Georgia’s defense plays to the ceiling like it did against Texas. On the other hand, though, Carson Beck has been turnover-prone, and Ole Miss has the right combo up front to put pressure on him.

Ultimately, I think Georgia is the better team in this game and should come out victorious. That said, if Beck’s turnover issues continue and the defense doesn’t reach its potential — which has been the case at times this season — this game in Oxford could get hairy in a hurry for the Dawgs. An upset is probably more at stake than anyone in Athens would like to admit.

Opponent: at Georgia Tech | Time: Saturday, Nov. 9, noon ET (ESPN) | Spread: MIA -10.5

No, I don’t think Mario Cristobal is going to stubbornly and stupidly not take a knee at the end of this one for Miami to lose to Georgia Tech for the second year in a row. Will that game be on the mind of the Hurricanes head coach, though? You can take that to the bench, and honestly, what we learned in that game last year is that Georgia Tech can be the right team to go against The U, even at a talent disadvantage.

The big question heading into this matchup is the status of Yellow Jackets starting quarterback Hayes King, who is now out for several weeks. My gut, based on Brent Key’s comments throughout the week, is that he will play, which should scare Miami a bit. With King, Georgia Tech has a unique, grind-it-out offense that can put a Hurricanes defense that I still don’t trust (how could you trust a unit that gave up 31 points to Duke?) into this one.

If that happens, then Miami will need Cam Ward to play Superman for the umpteenth time this season. He’s already proven he’s capable of doing just that, but are we absolutely sure there won’t be a time where he falls short? I’m still not entirely convinced of that, and with Miami on the road in this one, it’s not hard for me to see Cristobal and Co. sweating it out or even realistically getting mad at Atlanta.

Opponent: at 15 LSU | Time: Saturday, November 9, 7:30 PM ET (ABC) | Spread: ALA -2.5

Here we are again. Full disclosure, almost every time the Alabama vs. LSU is on the schedule, the favorite will be put on upset alert. That’s how it is when these two SEC powers collide annually, and this year might be the best case for it. They are two extremely good teams but also teams with clear flaws, and Alabama being the road favorite is enough to easily put the upset in the realm of possibility.

Beyond Death Valley being a tough place to play, Alabama’s defense, especially the secondary, still worries me. And when you look at their two losses to Vanderbilt and Tennessee, both of which also come on the road, their secondary played their worst games of the season. Now they face LSU in Baton Rouge against the best receiver and quarterback they’ve seen this season. It is certainly not favorable.

To be sure, Jalen Milroe could have a big day against this LSU defense and we could turn back the clock on a classic Alabama-LSU shootout. But in this type of game, Death Valley could definitely play a factor. With the advantages Brian Kelly’s team has in this one, they are very much alive to upset the Crimson Tide and send Bama packing from the CFP.