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Here are the 3 things that helped propel Trump back to the White House, according to AP poll
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Here are the 3 things that helped propel Trump back to the White House, according to AP poll

FILE-Former President Donald Trump arrives on stage during a mayoral campaign event at the Lancaster County Convention Center on October 20, 2024 in Lancaster, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Donald Trump is tipped to become the 47th president of the United States, and a new poll reveals what may have contributed to his return to the White House.

In an AP VoteCast poll, about 3 in 10 voters said they want a total change in how the nation is run. The survey consisted of more than 120,000 voters across the country and was conducted over eight days, ending with the closing of the polls.

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Trump won over voters across the country and in key swing states who were concerned about two of the key issues in this year’s election: the economy and immigration.

Voters gave Trump an advantage over their primary concern: the economy

Concerns about inflation were high among voters, who believed Trump could handle the economy and jobs better than Vice President Kamala Harris. The swing states of Pennsylvania and Wisconsin reflected the mood of the country, the Associated Press reported.

The share of voters who said their family’s financial situation was “falling behind” rose to about 3 in 10, up from about 2 in 10 in the last presidential election.

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Many voters were still worried about inflation hitting a 40-year high in June 2022. The poll noted that 9 in 10 voters were very or somewhat worried about the cost of food, and 8 in 10 were worried about health care costs. their housing costs or the price of gas.

Tough immigration policies were more popular, especially in swing states

According to the poll, voters were more likely to adopt tougher immigration policies than they were four years ago, which fits with Trump’s tough approach.

About 4 in 10 voters said immigrants living in the U.S. illegally should be deported to their country of origin, up from about 3 in 10 in 2020.

While a majority of voters said immigrants living in the U.S. illegally should be given a chance to apply for legal status, that was down from 2020.

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Trump has seized on a surge in illegal crossings at the US-Mexico border as a crime driver and falsely accused Ohio’s Haitian immigrants of eating dogs and cats.

The AP noted that the president-elect’s stance may have resonated in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — three states far from the southern border, where about 8 in 10 Trump voters said they support deportation for a chance to seek legal status.

Trump has dented Democrats’ traditional advantage among key groups

Trump has garnered a small but significant number of younger, black and Hispanic voters, many of whom feel disenchanted with the economy. A majority of young black and Latino voters said the economy is not doing well.

According to the AP, the economy carried more weight than in the 2020 election, including for these groups. Four years ago, COVID-19 and racism were critical issues for black and Latino voters. But this time, they focused more on the economy, and Trump was able to make inroads with both groups, even if the majority remained with Harris.

Among voters under 30, just under half supported Trump, an improvement over his performance in 2020. The poll noted that about three-quarters of young voters said the U.S. was headed in a direction wrong, and about a third said they wanted a complete and total change in the way the country is run.

There was also a difference between which candidate young men and women supported. About 6 in 10 women between the ages of 18 and 29 voted for Harris, and more than half of men in that age bracket supported Trump.

The AP VoteCast poll combines a random sample of registered voters drawn from state voter files; self-identified registered voters using NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak panel, which is designed to be representative of the US population; and self-identified registered voters selected from online non-probability panels.