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Donald Trump Will Win Wisconsin, Networks Project
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Donald Trump Will Win Wisconsin, Networks Project

The former president Donald Trump he is projected to win Wisconsin and secure the state’s 10 electoral votes, according to multiple networks.

With nearly all votes counted, Trump was declared the state’s winner at 5:34 a.m., pushing him past the 270 Electoral College threshold needed to win the presidency.

With 99% of ballots counted, Trump secured 49.8% of the vote, compared to 48.8% for Kamala Harrisaccording to the Associated Press (AP).

The result was called after the AP determined that the remaining uncounted votes, mostly in the Milwaukee area, would not be enough for Harris to overcome Trump.

Wisconsin is no stranger to close presidential races, with the margin of victory falling below one percentage point in the 2020, 2016, 2004 and 2000 elections.

Both Trump and Harris competed hard for the electoral votes at stake, making frequent stops in the Badger State, including several in vote-rich areas of Milwaukee, Madison and Green Bay.

Which presidential candidate did Wisconsin voters choose in 2016 and 2020?

Wisconsin was one of three key “blue wall” states — along with Michigan and Pennsylvania — that swung for Trump in 2016 after nearly 30 years of supporting Democratic presidential candidates.

Four years later, Joe Biden claimed all three states for Democratswinning Wisconsin by a margin of about 20,000 votes, or 0.63 percent, out of nearly 3.3 million votes cast.

As of October 1, 2024, Wisconsin had 3,555,545 active registered voters. The state does not collect information about the sex, race or political party affiliation of registered voters.

Kamala Harris Donald Trump Wisconsin
Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris speaks to supporters during a campaign event at Little Chute High School on November 1, 2024 in Little Chute, Wisconsin. Republican presidential candidate, former US President Donald Trump…


Scott Olson/Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

What were the poll averages in Wisconsin?

According to the FiveThirtyEight model as of late October 2024, Kamala Harris was leading in Wisconsin with 49% of the projected vote compared to Donald Trump’s 48%, giving her a 1-point lead. That margin has widened since the beginning of the month, when the race was nearly even.

Nate SilverThe popular model also indicated that both candidates were virtually tied, each projected to receive 48.5% of the vote. Silver’s projections initially showed Harris with a slight 0.7-point lead, but the race tightened in the following weeks to a narrow 1.2-point lead for Trump, indicating momentum for Republican candidate as election day approached.

High prices, abortion and immigration among Wisconsin’s biggest issues

In the run-up to the 2024 election, Wisconsin voters have focused on several key issues that have redefined the political landscape. Economic concerns, particularly rising inflation and the rising cost of living, have taken center stage, with many residents feeling the squeeze on daily expenses. Abortion rights have also emerged as a key issue, driven by recent legislative changes that have fueled intense debate over reproductive freedoms and individual rights.

Immigration policy further shaped voter sentiment as discussions of border security and the economic effects of immigration remained at the forefront of the state’s political discourse. Additionally, a proposed statewide ballot measure to amend the state constitution to prohibit non-citizens from voting in state elections added another layer to the discussion.

As of October 31, 2024, Wisconsin has seen a significant increase in early voting ahead of the November 5 general election. The Wisconsin Elections Commission reported that 1,224,779 voters had already cast ballots. That total includes 705,326 in-person ballots and 519,453 mail-in ballots. Notably, the number of absentee ballots exceeded the 2020 total of 651,422, indicating increased voter engagement this election cycle.

Both campaigns rallied heavily in Wisconsin

Wisconsin has become a battleground in the 2024 presidential campaign, with both Harris and Trump fiercely competing for its crucial 10 electoral votes. Trump’s whirlwind tour of Milwaukee, Waunakee and Juneau in early October echoed his 2016 strategy of trying to capture last-minute support.

Harris, equally relentless, toured the state at least eight times, reaching urban Milwaukee and conservative strongholds like Ripon with messages tailored to Wisconsin’s diverse communities.