close
close

Association-anemone

Bite-sized brilliance in every update

The election results are coming. Here’s where things stand.
asane

The election results are coming. Here’s where things stand.

  • Trump was declared the winner in 21 states, including Florida, while Harris won 11 and Washington, DC.
  • None of the seven key states have been called yet.
  • But with Trump leading in the southern states, all eyes are on the “blue wall.”

With results to come, former president Donald Trump and vice president Kamala Harris each has been declared the winner in multiple states, but there have been no surprises so far.

Trump won 21 states, totaling 210 electoral votes. Harris won 11 states plus Washington, DC, totaling 113 electoral votes. A candidate must win a majority of the 538 electoral votes — 270 — to win.

The election is expected to come down to just seven “battleground” states that polls have indicated either candidate could win: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Polls have now closed in all these states, but none have been called.

Abortion is on the ballot in 10 states — so far, it’s passed in three and failed in one

Reproductive rights have been a key issue in this election, with voters deciding on abortion in 10 states tonight, including battleground states Arizona and Nevada.

Abortion-rights referendums passed in New York, Maryland and Colorado, as expected.

In Florida, the effort to enshrine the constitutional right to abortion failed. However, the referendum faced a tougher hike in the Sunshine State than usual – it had to garner 60 percent of the vote, rather than a simple majority as is the case in other states.

The closely watched poll in Iowa was extremely close — Trump won the state comfortably

The weekend before Election Day, the nationally recognized Des Moines Register poll by Iowa pollster Ann Selzer showed Harris leading Trump in the state by 3 percentage points.

It was a stunning twist of fate that injected excitement into Harris’ campaign.

Now, it’s clear the poll missed the mark — Trump is projected to win Iowa and its six electoral votes by more than 10 percentage points.

Ted Cruz is predicted to beat Colin Allred in Texas

Trump is projected to have won Texas and the 40 electoral college votes. The former president’s victory was not surprising, but it was a reminder that decades of Democrats’ yearning for a major upset in Texas has yet to materialize.

Meanwhile, Sen. Ted Cruz is expected to retain his seat. That’s despite a strong performance by Democratic Rep. Colin Allred, beating Harris in the state.

Democrats have long seen the Texas race as one of their top opportunities, and they were excited Allred’s moderate-minded campaign. But Democrats haven’t won a statewide race in Texas since 1994.

There will be two black women in the US Senate

In a single election, Democrats doubled the number of black women who won election to the US Senate. Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks and Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester are expected to defeat their Republican opponents.

Their victories, while expected, are historic as only two black women have ever been elected to the US Senate: Carol Moseley Braun in 1992 and Kamala Harris in 2017. Senator Laphonza Butler of California was appointed to serve the late Senator Dianne. Feinstein’s term.

Blunt Rochester will be the first woman and the first black lawmaker to represent Delaware in the US Senate. Alsobrooks will also be the first black woman to represent Maryland in the US Senate.

With Trump holding onto the southern states, all eyes are on the blue wall

Trump continues to hold leads in Georgia and North Carolina, which puts additional pressure on Harris to carry the northern “blue wall” states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Harris’ clearest path to 270 electoral votes is winning those three states and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, along with the contingent of safe Democratic states clustered on the Northeast and West coasts.

The vice president has spent considerable time in blue-wall states, hoping to shore up support with union members, moderates, minority voters, young voters and disaffected Republicans.

Trump trade takes off

Investors are betting on a Trump victory, with a number of markets moving sharply on early election results.

The US dollar strengthened to a multi-month high, bitcoin hit a record high and Treasuries sold off in moves reflecting the expected impact of a Trump’s presidency.

An incumbent senator is underwater in Ohio, with big implications for Democrats’ chances of retaining control of the upper chamber

Trump is expected to easily win Ohio again, as he did in 2016 and 2020. But the real race in the state is for Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown’s seat.

Brown is running well ahead of Harris, but trails his GOP opponent, Bernie Moreno, by a few points. About 80% of the wards are reporting so far.

If Brown were to lose, Democrats are almost guaranteed to lose their majority in the US Senate. If they win, they have a chance — but they should be re-elected Democratic Sen. Jon Tester and in Montana.

Trump is the first Republican since 1988 to win Miami-Dade County

Trump not only widened his margin of victory in Florida, but also clinched Miami-Dade County, once a Democratic stronghold. His county win illustrates the Sunshine State’s phenomenal swing to the right.

In 2016, Hillary Clinton won Miami-Dade by 30 percentage points; in 2020, Biden won it by 7 percentage points. Trump is projected to win the county by double-digit margins, the Associated Press reported, with 95 percent of the vote counted.

There is a significant Latino population in the county, and the key demographic has begun to swing Republican. Harris’ campaign didn’t spend much money in Florida, finding the state, once a battleground, out of reach.

Democrats are starting to bite their nails in Georgia as the race tightens

With 66 percent of the vote counted in the key battleground state of Georgia, Democrats are starting to get worried. Trump has 53 percent of the vote to Harris’ 47 percent, and the former president is establishing a comfortable lead in GOP-leaning areas.

A senior Democratic analyst said Harris “needs a Hail Mary on Election Day” to a veteran political reporter in the state. At least 12 polling stations in the state remained open past the original closing time of 7:00 p.m. after unsubstantiated bomb threats linked to Russia caused temporary closures.

Marijuana legalization and abortion rights referendums fail in Florida

Floridians are expected to reject ballot measures that would have expanded abortion rights and legalized recreational marijuana for adults 21 and older, according to NBC, CNN and the Associated Press.

The expected failure of the abortion referendum is particularly remarkable given that abortion rights advocates rushed an unbroken winning streak in states across the country since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade in 2022. As a result, Florida’s ban on nearly all abortions after six weeks will remain in place — one of the most restrictive policies in the country.

Governor Ron DeSantis declared victory over the progressive referendums shortly after the final state polls closed. He and his allies have made it their mission to sink the measures, each of which must garner at least 60 percent support to pass.

“With the polls now closed in Florida – Amendment 3 has failed. Amendment 4 failed,” DeSantis wrote on X.

Trump previously announced that he would support the marijuana legalization referendum.

DeSantis has driven a sea change in state politics, turning what was once the nation’s biggest swing state into a hotbed for Republicans.

A suburban Virginia county has swung a few points to the right since 2020, a potential warning sign for Democrats

Loudoun County, a highly educated suburban county in Northern Virginia, has reported the vast majority of his results — and it doesn’t look great for Democrats. Polls have closed in the state, but full results are yet to be reported.

Harris currently leads Trump by more than 16 points in Loudoun. But that’s a significant drop from 2020, when Biden defeated Trump by 25 points in the county.

It’s too early to tell if that trend will continue in other states, but it doesn’t bode well for Harris, who has been trying to weed out GOP Trump voters in suburban areas.

A Trump ally has been knocked out in the North Carolina governor’s race

North Carolina Attorney General Josh Stein is expected to win the state’s gubernatorial election. holding the swing state for Democratsas projected by Fox News and NBC News.

Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson, a Trump ally who has a history of making controversial comments, was rocked by a CNN report that he previously made explicit posts on a pornographic message board called NudeAfrica. Robinson has repeatedly denied that he wrote the messages, which included posts saying “slavery is not bad” and that the user was a “black NAZI!”.

Trump has never withdrawn his endorsement of Robinson, but Republicans fear his loss could affect Trump at the top of the ticket.

How to read Electoral College math

The US uses the Electoral College to elect a president. Each state gets a set number of votes that correlate to its population—if a state has two U.S. senators and three members of the House, it has five electoral votes.

The winner must get at least 270 electoral votes – a majority of the 538 total. In the vast majority of states, either Harris or Trump is expected to win, leaving the campaigns to battle for the 93 electoral votes in the seven states of war.

If Harris wins Georgia, North Carolina and Michigan late Tuesday or early Wednesday, she will have an estimated 273 electoral votes — enough to make her the winner.

If Trump sweeps these states, he will have a projected 266 electoral votes — not enough to be declared the winner, but would put him in a very strong position to win.

Harris’ easiest path to victory would be to win the traditional “blue wall” states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — a result that should put her at 270 electoral votes. Overall, she polled better in those states than the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina.

For Trump, a path to victory would involve keeping all or most of the Sun Belt states while also winning Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin.