Get ready for an exciting matchup tonight as the Louisville Cardinals take on the Boston College Eagles under the bright lights of Alumni Stadium.

The Cardinals have lost three of their last four, and my Louisville vs. Boston College expects a close, low-scoring contest.

Read on as I explain why I love Boston College making a game of it with me for free college football picks for Friday, October 25.

Louisville vs Boston College prediction and best bet

My best bet
Boston College +7.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis

The Louisville Cardinals they are coming off a 52-45 home loss to the Miami Hurricanes on Saturday. Louisville is dealing with an explosive Boston College Eagles offense with one of the top defenses in the ACC.

Boston College has only lost twice this season by more than seven points. The reason? Boston College’s big-play offense has an explosive 40 plays for 1,195 yards with a shutout unit allowing an ACC fourth-best 20 points per game.

Boston College O-Unit scores 26 points per game. Explosive plays make up 48 percent of the Eagles’ offense and they face a Cardinals defense that surrenders 31 plays of 20+ yards and 15 plays of 30 yards or more.

The Eagles defense is allowing a shade under 21 points and 351 yards per game. They are an opportunistic unit with nine interceptions, allowing 21 points or fewer in their previous four contests.

Louisville quarterback Tyler Shough is the man behind the Cardinals’ potent offense. He has thrown 18 touchdowns with three interceptions, but faces a defense that surrenders the fourth fewest passing yards (209) in the ACC with just six TD receptions allowed this season.

I like Boston College to cover the number. Boston College’s defense can slow down the Cardinals’ high-scoring offense. The Eagles have had two extra days on the schedule to prepare, and Louisville is coming off a tough, physical loss Saturday at home to the Miami Hurricanes.

The home team has won each of the last seven meetings. While Boston College might not win this contest, the two extra days of preparation — along with the Eagles’ exceptional defense and big-play offense — can help them cover the spread.

Same Game Parlay Louisville vs Boston College (SGP)

Boston College +7.5

Tyler Shough 1+ passing TDs

Below 53.5

Shough’s arm is a challenge to keep out of the end zone. The Texas Tech transfer has thrown 54 career TD passes and 1+ punts in six of his previous seven games.

We’ve already discussed the Eagles’ above-average defense. If the Eagles hold Shough to one scoring shot, and I believe they will, this contest will end in Under No.

Neither side relies heavily on the ground game, and both defenses are above average against the run. Those defenses are probably better than their offense, and that should keep him under the total.

Learn how to place a bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Louisville vs Boston College odds

Louisville vs Boston College live odds

Louisville vs Boston College Opening Odds

• Louisville vs. Boston College spread: Boston College +8.5
• Louisville vs. Money Line Boston College: Louisville -250 | Boston College +200
• Louisville vs. Boston College Over/Under: 53.5

Odds courtesy of him BetMGM

Louisville vs Boston College spread and over/under analysis

• Louisville is 3-4-0 ATS this year. They opened as high as -8.5 (-110), but that number fell to a consensus of -7.5 (-110).
• Boston College is also 3-4-0 ATS. They are 5-2-0 ATS in their last seven meetings with Louisville.
• The over/under numbers are in motion. After opening as high as 54 (-110), the total fell to 53 (-110).

Louisville vs Boston College betting trend to know

Boston College has hit the Under in nine of its last 13 games (+4.60 units / 32% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Louisville vs. Boston College.

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