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    • Here’s what the polls say now
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    Here’s what the polls say now

    Online Niel Posted on

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    The polls are officially opened in Florida for Election Day, closing at 7 p.m. Between mail-in ballots and early voting in the state, there have already been over 8 million votes counted.

    The race for the Oval Office is tight, with various national surveys showing vice president Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump leading each other by a small difference. In Florida, multiple polls show Trump will get the state’s 30 electoral votes.

    Florida 2024 election results: Live updates, maps for every state race

    Behold what are the polls and odds say now with one day left until election day.

    Things to consider about surveys

    The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results to be representative of the entire population, USA TODAY reports.

    When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

    Pew has, too found that most pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

    Florida 2024 election results: Live updates, maps for every state race

    Who is leading the polls and favored in the ratings now?

    Polls and ratings are constantly changing. These numbers were reflected as of Tuesday, November 5, 2024 at 10:00 AM

    270towin

    270towina website that offers an interactive map of the Electoral College, shows that Harris currently leads Trump by 1.2 percent. This was up 0.1% from yesterday

    The Site survey for Florida shows Trump leading Harris by 6.2%.

    ABC News Project 538

    ABC News Project 538 shows Harris with a slight lead over Trump, 48.1 percent to 46.9 percent.

    According to ABC News, the website provides an updated average for each candidate in the 2024 presidential polls, taking into account each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

    Poll averages are adjusted based on state and national polls.

    The Economist

    In their final update for The Economist’s forecast of the presidential election, they found that Harris’s chances of winning increased from 50% to 56%. Of the 67 polls released yesterday, 44 gave Harris better numbers than their forecasts had previously expected.

    But even with that lead The Economist I still didn’t feel the margin was decisive.

    “Her new lead is small enough that it can barely be called the frontrunner, and it wouldn’t be surprising if Donald Trump wins by a decisive margin,” they wrote. “But Ms. Harris is widely believed to have had a stronger week to close out the campaign than Mr. Trump did, and the latest batch of polls going into our model bear that out.”

    Polymarket

    Polymarketa crypto trading platform expresses increasing odds by the betting public, shows that Trump is ahead of Harris by about 25%. On election morning, Trump is at 62.3 percent to Harris’ 37.9 percent.

    Realclearpolling

    Realclearpollinga website that shares updated 2024 election polls shares that the betting odds are currently in Trump’s favor with a spread of +0.1.

    Reuters/Ipsos

    An October 29 poll conducted by Reuters/Ipsos shows Harris with a 1-point lead over Trump.

    “The three-day poll, completed on Sunday, showed the race effectively tied ahead of the November 5 election. The poll had a margin of error of about three percentage points in either direction,” the poll said.

    Stetson University’s Center for Public Opinion Research (CPOR).

    Conformable Stetson University PollTrump has a sizable lead over Harris among likely voters in Florida.

    The poll, conducted between October 25 and November 1, found Trump ahead by 7 points, securing support from 53 percent of likely voters, compared to 46 percent for Harris.

    The poll surveyed 452 likely voters, with results weighted by age, ethnicity, race, gender, education, party affiliation and geography to reflect the state’s historical voting patterns. The survey has a credibility interval of +/- 5%.

    Allan Lichtman breaks down the 2024 presidential election

    Presidential historian Allan Lichtman is a distinguished professor of history at American University and has predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election over former President Donald Trump.

    According to USA TODAY, Lichtman uses a set of 13 “keys” to pick his picks, ranging from economic indicators to the candidates’ charisma.

    Lichtman, 77, has correctly predicted the outcome of nearly every election over the past half century, except for the 2000 race, in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.

    Here’s what you need to know about Election Day in Florida today

    ➤ Live Updates for Lee County: Get the latest information about the Fort Myers area here.

    ➤ Live Updates for Collier County: Get the latest news for the Naples area here.

    ➤ Sarasota County Live Updates: Get the latest information on the Sarasota-Manatee-Bradenton area here.

    ➤ Live Updates for Brevard County: Get the latest information on Melbourne and other areas of the Space Coast.

    ➤ Live updates for Volusia County: Get the latest information about the Daytona Beach area here.

    ➤ Live Updates for Marion County: Get the latest news for the Ocala area here.

    ➤ Updates for Lake County: Get the latest news for the Leesburg area here.

    ➤ Polk County Live Updates: Get the latest information about the Lakeland area here.

    ➤ Live updates for Palm Beach County: Get the latest information about the West Palm Beach area here.

    Where to Vote in Florida: Where is the Election Day 2024 polling place near me?

    Here’s a list of each Florida county and the corresponding voter precinct lookup links, pulled from Voter.org:

    Contribute: Rachel Barber and Rebecca MorinUSA TODAY

    Online Niel
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