close
close

Association-anemone

Bite-sized brilliance in every update

Harris sees a steep decline in support among California Hispanics
asane

Harris sees a steep decline in support among California Hispanics

If vice president Kamala Harrisdeclining performance of traditionally Democratic voting blocs in California foreshadows trends in battleground states, her campaign could face unwanted news on Election Day.

Only 57 percent of Hispanics in the Golden State supported Harris’ presidential campaign, according to a new poll by the University of California, Berkeley’s Institute for Governmental Studies. The number marks a sharp drop from the 75 percent of California Hispanics who supported President Joe Biden in 2020.

The same trend continues when we look at Asian Americans. The survey, which was co-sponsored by Los Angeles Times and polled 4,341 Californians this month, found that 56 percent of the voting bloc supported Harris, down from 75 percent who supported Biden during his presidential campaign four years ago. Meanwhile, the vice president has seen Democratic support among black voters drop 5 percentage points since the 2020 election.

2024 ELECTION LIVE UPDATES: THE LATEST ON THE TRUMP-HARRIS PRESIDENTIAL RACE

The poll found good news for Harris, with data showing she has widened her margin of support among white voters by 7 percentage points since Biden’s 2020 presidential campaign. However, when measuring support for the vice president’s campaign among all Golden State voters, she saw a drop of more than 6 percentage points from Biden’s 2020 numbers.

Harris sees a steep decline in support among California Hispanics
Emiliana Guereca, founder and president of the Women’s March Foundation, adjusts a sign with the image of Democratic vice presidential nominee Kamala Harris outside a phone bank in Los Angeles, Tuesday, Oct. 15, 2024. (AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes)

While California remains a solidly blue state, should Asian Americans and Hispanics turn to former President Donald Trump in neighboring states such as Arizona and Nevada, where even a few thousand votes could swing the outcome of the election , the news could sound a death knell. announced Harris’ presidential ambitions.

Former President Donald Trump has often claimed he is making gains in California’s Hispanic support, commenting on the issue this week at a rally in North Carolina and most recently during a campaign stop in Henderson, Nevada.

Lamenting Gov. Gavin Newsom’s (D-CA) move to sign a bill ban voter ID requirements in the Golden State earlier this year, Trump said that if he had “fair” numbers, “I’d do great in California” because “Hispanics like me.”

“I’m glad they love me. They should love me and I love them,” Trump told supporters in Nevada on Thursday night. “But I would do great if we had an honest (vote). I always say, if God would just come down for one day to be the vote counter… In other words, I’d win in California.”

UC Berkeley’s Institute for Governmental Studies also found that support for Trump among Hispanic men is particularly high, a trend that appears to be mirrored in nearby Arizona.

A recent one USA Today The poll found that 51 percent of Arizona’s Hispanic male voters between the ages of 18 and 34 support Trump. It also found that support for Harris among Latino voters was down overall from Biden’s 2020 numbers.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

“You don’t see the same kind of strong support for the Democratic ticket among Latinos,” said Mark DiCamillo, who oversaw the UC Berkeley Institute for Governmental Studies poll. Los Angeles Times. “That has implications for Arizona and maybe Nevada.”

Nevada and Arizona will be critical for both presidential candidates to pull off a victory on Election Day. Trump currently holds a slim lead over Harris in both battleground states, according to a poll from the RealClearPolitics.