The poll of 1,446 registered voters found that 47% of registered voters either planned to vote for Harris or had already voted for her, while 46% indicated they supported Trump. Because of rounding, the gap is actually closer to two percentage points, the survey found. Harris’ lead among registered voters is within the poll’s margin of error (± 3.4 percentage points).

The poll was conducted between October 26 and October 29 and is the latest Economist/YouGov poll planned before the election.

“For a large proportion of voters, their election is over: 40% say they have already voted either by mail, absentee ballot or in person at a polling station – slightly higher than 37% of voters registered who say they will vote. at the polls on election day”, the conclusions show. The poll also shows that those who plan to vote in person favor Trump, while those who vote by mail favor Harris.